Market Moves
Hoo Boy, Inverted Yield Curve Adds to Stock Market Gloom
For the second time this year, Treasury-based signal flashes: recession ahead. But is this true?
Tag: Recession
GDP Forecasts for 2nd Quarter Show Deceleration
But latest estimates indicate slight improvement from previous calls.
Goldman Puts Number on Odds of a Recession: Just 10%
Wall Street firm credits the Fed’s about-face for sunnier view.
Is an Earnings Recession Really Coming?
Morgan Stanley says yes, CFRA says no.
Expect a Slowdown, Not a Recession, Corporate CFOs Say
A solid 75% are looking for a downturn, yet just 15% think a recession will occur in 2020, Deloitte survey indicates.
Market Moves
Watch Out for This Recession Signal: a Tiny Unemployment Hike
If the jobless rate climbs by 0.5 point, history shows that an economic slump is coming, Natixis’ Lavorgna warns.
Market Moves
More Signs that the Earnings Slowdown Doesn’t Spell Market Doom
Corporate profit growth is certainly ebbing, but the picture is far from grim.
Newsmakers
Guggenheim CIO Calls Recession Fears ‘Overblown’
Scott Minerd says Davos attendees tend to misread the tea leaves.
US Economic Expansion Will Be the Longest in History, Bob Doll Says
Nuveen’s veteran stock strategist thinks it will surpass the 1990s’ record by summer.
CFOs Expect a Recession by 2020, Deloitte Says
Survey finds 55% of corporate financial chiefs expect a downturn, a marked decline in optimism.
Risks Increasing to Bull Market
Global economic forecasts offer somber, even gloomy, outlook for 2019.
Larry Summers Puts 2020 Recession Risk at 50%
Former Treasury chief sees risk from slumping stock market, Fed tightening, and international tensions.
Hedge Fund Titan Daniel Loeb Worries About Fed Hikes
Activist investor thinks aggressive short-term rate increases 'heightens' recession risk.
What Junk Bond Spreads Tell Us: Economy OK for Now
A wide gap between high-yield and 10-year Treasury signals a pending recession, says Natixis’ Lavorgna.
Trade War Could Trim Economic Growth, Study Says
It also risks pushing the US and the world into a recession, BofA Merrill warns.