
Tag: recession


Labor Picture Less Worrisome Than It Appears
As the creator of a key Federal Reserve metric has noted, its use as a recession predictor may not be appropriate.

Signals of a Coming Recession Are Absent, Ned Davis Says
Forget about retreating to defensive stocks for now, per the firm’s analysts, as the risk of a downturn in the ‘next several months is low.’

Why Soaring AI Stocks May Falter
Skepticism about long-term performance rises as the payoff of artificial intelligence now seems far off.

Nail-Biting Time for Stock Market as Jobs Report Looms

Where Is the 10-Year Treasury Yield Headed? It’s Hard to Say
As the Fed prepares to lower short-term rates, the T-note confounds predictions due to its recent volatility.

Expect More Borrowing Once the Next Recession Hits, Says Strategist
U.S. consumers usually reduce taking out loans in a slump, so one likely winner in the coming downturn, per BCA’s Papic, is homebuilders’ stocks.

Private Credit Defaults Nudge Up: A Warning?
This relatively new alternative asset class had a 2.7% rate for loan non-payments in the second quarter, a Proskauer study says.

Good News: Earnings Log Best Growth Rate Since Post-Pandemic Surge
S&P 500 profits are headed for a good 2024, a FactSet survey shows.

Finance Chiefs Are Cheerful About the Economy’s Long-Term Prospects
U.S. Bank survey finds 58% of CFOs are optimistic about prospects three years in the future.

That ’70s Show: Can Stagflation Return?
Several finance savants, including Jamie Dimon, admonish that high inflation and a punk economy could stage a comeback.

Yield Curve Will Right Itself, Finally, but Not Until Year-End, Experts Say
Next question: What happened to the inverted arc’s role as a recession portent?

Goldman: US Is the Place to Invest in 2024
The nation’s stocks out-run everyone else’s, and should continue to, per the firm’s outlook.

Why Stocks Might Rise 10% in 2024, per CFRA’s Stovall
When the S&P 500 advances more than 20%, as it did in 2023, history says it will climb an average 10% in the next year, an investment sage finds.

Market Drivers in 2024: The Magnificent Seven? Something Else?
The mega-cap tech giants appear invincible. But things always change in the market.