With Echoes of Fortress and Blackstone, Apollo Goes Public

The private equity firm has raised $565 million in the public markets – but is it a sign of confidence renewed, or confidence unfounded?

(March 30, 2011) – Leon Black’s Apollo Global Management, originally slated for a 2008 initial public offering (IPO), has finally gone public.

The firm had sold shares in a private placement in 2007, hoping that it would be the first step toward a New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) listing; however, when markets turned sour in 2008, the public offering was delayed until now. The underwriters for Apollo’s offering are Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of AmericaMerrill Lynch, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, and UBS.

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With shares priced at $19 and put on the market Wednesday morning – raising the firm $565 million in total – the deal indicates, at least for some, renewed confidence in the power of private equity to bring investors outsized returns. However, the IPO also rekindles memories of Stephen Schwarzman’s Blackstone public offering in 2007, a deal that many commentators, even at the time, suggested indicated that those in the know were cashing out and that a peak, of sorts, had been reached. The Blackstone IPO priced shares of the company at $31; as of March 30, 2011, the share price was trading under $19. Filings released at the time of the IPO showed that the firm’s upper echelon executives were awarded compensation in the billions, and that the firm would incur large losses as it paid out its founders.

The IPO of Fortress Investment Group – the first of any private equity group to go public in America – has proven equally poor for investors in hindsight. The 2007 offering was priced at $18.50; the stock was trading at $5.67 Wednesday morning.

Early trading in the stock was muted, with Apollo shares trading down nearly 3% at the close of markets Wednesday. Commentators were quick to draw implications. "Now investors really are going to turn an icy shoulder to any other private equity firm that comes to the marketplace," David Menlow, president of IPOfinancial.com, told Reuters."They may have priced at the top and (sold more shares), but it's the performance of the stock that's going to call the shots,” when it comes to other private equity giants executing IPOs, he added. According to the news agency, sources say that Carlyle Group and Oaktree Capital Management are both seriously considering IPOs.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Kristopher McDaniel at <a href='mailto:kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com'>kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com</a>

Milliman Funding Report: Large US Pensions Enjoy High Contributions, Increased '10 Corporate Plan Funding

The latest annual report by Milliman shows that record levels of employer contributions have led to a small gain in funded status.

(March 30, 2011) — New research by Milliman  has shown that the 100 largest corporate defined benefit pension plans in the US received a combined $59.4 billion in contributions in 2010, producing an improvement in funded status of $12.4 billion for the year.

According to Milliman’s Pension Funding Study, an annual report on the country’s largest corporate defined benefit plans, the level of contributions last year equaled almost twice the $30 billion projected at the beginning of last year. Meanwhile, the average funded ratio of the Milliman 100 was 83.9% as of December 31, compared with 81.7% in 2009 and 79.3% in 2008.

“We were surprised by the level of employer contributions, which turned a decline in funded status into an improvement in funded status,” John W. Ehrhardt, the firm’s principal, consulting actuary, and co-author of the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index, told aiCIO. “Companies are being conservative in their projections, spurred by the combined effects of asset losses in 2008 and low interest rates that have driven pension funding requirements up, likely to continue in 2011,” he said.

The research showed that the record cash contributions and investment gains were offset by an increase in liabilities generated by a decrease in discount rates. Asset gains last year amounted to 12.8%, a $115 billion improvement from 2009. Liabilities increased 7.7% in 2010, generated by a reduction in the discount rate to 5.43% from 5.82% in 2009.

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The report asserted: “Under an optimistic forecast with rising interest rates (reaching 6.51% by the end of 2012) and asset gains (12.1% annual returns), the funded ratio would climb to 107% by the end of 2012. Under a pessimistic forecast with similar interest rate and asset movements (4.31% discount rate at the end of 2012 and 4.1% annual returns), the funded ratio would decline to 71% by the end of 2012.”

Asset allocation for the Milliman 100 in 2010 was relatively unchanged. Investments in equities decreased to 44% from 45%, fixed-income remained at 36% from the year prior and alternatives increased to 20% from 19%. “Given the strong performance of the equity markets during 2010, equity allocations should have increased to over 47%…We expect equity allocations to remain at current levels or decrease during 2011 if the funded status of the study group improves,” the report stated.

Furthermore, Milliman concluded that accounting changes adopted by some companies, such as Honeywell, Verizon, and AT&T, resulted in significant charges to their 2010 year-end balance sheets. “If the rest of the Milliman 100 companies had adopted similar accounting changes, we estimate that there would have been a $342 billion charge to their cumulative balance sheets in 2010 and a reduction in their 2011 pension expense (and increase in corporate earnings) of about $19.9 billion,” the firm reported.

The accounting change cited in the report stems from the January decision by AT&T, the largest US phone company, to slash $17 billion from retained earnings, changing the way it handles accounting for its pension fund. In a regulatory filing, the telephone operator said gains and losses from its pension and other post-retirement benefits will be recognized in the year in which they are incurred instead of amortizing them over a number of years, leading to simpler, more transparent financial results and providing a better view of actual performance.

The changes indicated that AT&T is recognizing the big losses of plan assets in 2008 at one time as opposed to over two years, and it will position the company to more quickly take advantage of pension gains if interest rates continue to climb. “This is something I’ve personally wrestled with for some time,” Rick Lindner, AT&T’s chief financial officer, said on a conference call with Bloomberg. “We were bothered somewhat by the fact that there, at any given time, could be large amounts of losses that were not recognized through the income statement and had been deferred.”

“There’s an expectation that a lot of companies are going to do this, because they all have big losses from the market crash, and they all want to put it behind them,” accounting expert Robert Willens told The Canadian Press. On the whole, industry analysts said AT&T’s pension accounting change is good news for the firm’s shareholders.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

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