Tesla Comes Out on Top Despite SEC Suit, Musk’s Board Resignation

The SEC Twitter scandal looked like a nail in Tesla’s coffin, but a swift settlement surged shares and  will see the automaker remain CEO at the expense of his chairman gig and a $40 million payment.

Elon Musk’s erratic behavior landed him in hot water with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), but a quick deal made on Saturday caused both positive and negative consequences for the automaker.

As a result of a lawsuit, which initially wanted Musk out of the company and banned from sitting on a publicly traded company board, the carmaker head and the government regulator came to an agreement within two days of being served.

In exchange for keeping his CEO job, Musk will resign as Tesla’s board chair, and has agreed to pay the SEC a $20 million fine. Tesla will match that payment, citing its failure to police its head’s August behavior, which caused the dilemma.

Tesla’s stock has been volatile in 2018, plummeting further on Friday (to $267.67 from Thursday’s $307.52), a day after the SEC announced its filing. Brian Johnson, an analyst at Barclays, told CNBC that the automaker’s shares could sink to as low as $130 if Musk had exited the company.  

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However, Musk’s speedy settlement has done quite the opposite, as Tesla opened at $306 per share on Monday.

Last week, the government agency charged the Tesla head with fraud for a series of false and misleading August tweets about taking the company private for what was at the time a premium share price of $420 each. He claimed that the transaction’s funding had been secured, leaving the privatization to a shareholder vote. He also said public shareholders would retain their holdings under this new deal.

This caused the automaker’s stock to rocket more than 6% on August 7 (to $379.57 from the previous day’s $341.99), the day of the tweets, causing a market disruption. Days later, Musk, who owns roughly 20% of the company, admitted that none of the financing was secured, and that there was not only no real investor support, but also retail shareholders could not keep their stakes once Tesla went private. The plan was scrapped three weeks after the Twitter announcements, and the company’s stock declined soon after.

The SEC, however, argued that Musk knew the carmaker’s privatization was never going to happen, and it alleged that his actions vis-a-vis his 22 million Twitter followers were meant to manipulate the market. In doing so, the agency said, Musk mislead shareholders into thinking their stock’s value would rise to $420 per share, thus committing securities fraud.

Stephanie Avakian, co-director of the SEC’s enforcement division, said providing accurate information is “among a CEO’s most critical obligations,” adding that the standard “applies with equal force” regardless of how communication is conducted.

The agency said Musk violated antifraud provisions of federal securities laws and asked that he be exiled from the company and be barred from sitting on any public board.

Steven Peikin, another co-director of the enforcement division, contended that CEOs hold “positions of trust in our markets” and hold significant shareholder responsibilities. “An officer’s celebrity status or reputation as a technological innovator does not give license to take those responsibilities lightly,” Peikin said.  

Musk, who denied any wrongdoing, had the backing of Tesla’s board, as a Thursday statement read that it wanted to keep him as its chief.  The Tesla kingpin initially said he would fight the charges rather than settle with the commission, contending that a representative from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund expressed interest in the privatization.  

Musk cannot seek board reelection for three years. Two new members will be independently appointed to take his place.

The Department of Justice is also investigating Musk’s tweets, and could press criminal charges should it prove Musk intentionally bamboozled Tesla shareowners for personal gain.

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CalPERS to Review Whether International Stock Holdings Should Be Reduced

A decade ago, the largest US pension plan decided to abandon its home country bias favoring US stocks. Now, pension officials wonder if it was the right move as US stock performance has shined.

The $360 billion California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) will be conducting a review of its decision a decade ago to reduce the weighting of US stocks and increase international exposure in light of its underperformance by institutional peers who stayed more focused on the United States.

“I think it’s a good point to rethink our basic assumptions and especially one which is so crucial as to whether or not we should have home [country] bias,” said Elizabeth Bourqui, the pension system’s chief administrative investment officer, at a meeting of the system’s investment committee on September 24.

Bourqui said the CalPERS investment staff has begun to study the issue but a full evaluation won’t occur until the plan conducts a scheduled review in 2020 that looks at CalPERS’s overall asset allocation. She said the system plans to examine the issue of whether CalPERS should have a US home county stock bias “in an extensive manner.”

The CalPERS board would have to approve such a change.

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Until now, CalPERS investment staff has argued that US stocks were overvalued, and the nine-year bull market for US equities could reverse. This, they said, justified a large allocation to international stocks with their more attractive valuations and room for increased earnings and stock price growth.  But international stock performance has continued to disappoint.

The MSCI All County All World ex-US index saw a 7.28% gain for the June 30 fiscal year used by most pension plans. In contrast, the Wilshire 5000 total market index, which tracks US stocks, saw a 14.66% return in the same period. Over the last 10 years, US stocks have had more consistent, positive investment results compared to more volatile swings in international equities.  

CalPERS, the largest US retirement plan, made a 11.57% return in the 12-month fiscal year ending June for its $176.7 billion equity portfolio. Wilshire Consulting, its general investment consultant, in a September 24 report, said CalPERS fell in the 56th percentile for equity returns among public pension plans with more than $10 billion in assets under management for the fiscal year.

Wilshire found that pension plans in the 5th percentile had an average 17.37% equity return. In the 25th percentile, the pension plans saw a 12.51% average return, and in the 50th percentile, saw an average 11.90% return in the June 30 fiscal year.

CalPERS US equity exposure amounted to a 54.8% weighting for its global equity portfolio, a number generally reflective of the number of US companies in the global stock market.  International stocks compromise a 45.2% rating.

Wilshire also found that CalPERS was in the bottom 84% relative to other pension plans in US stock holdings but in the top 14% of plans in its international equity exposure.

CalPERS lead Wilshire consultant Andrew Junkin said at the investment committee meeting the decision was made a decade ago for a more global equity portfolio because it was felt that the pension plan could take advantage of global growth opportunities, not just US-centric investments.

It apparently wasn’t seen at that time the headwinds that would occur over the following years overseas. Economic trouble and political controversies in Europe, concerns over the Chinese economy, and even the strength of the US dollar compared to foreign currency have all limited international stock prices.  

CalPERS’s equity performance is not just lagging peers for the last fiscal year; the situation has persisted for the last decade. The Wilshire report found that CalPERS, relative to the market performance of peers, was in the 56th percentile for the three-year period, the 53th percentile for the five-year period, and the 75th percentile for the 10-year period, as US stocks outperformed international stocks and CalPERS was unable to take full advantage.

CalPERS had not disclosed just how many billions in investment returns it lost because of the board decision to abandon the US home county bias in favor of a more global weighting. For the 10-year period ending June 30, a period which included the great financial crisis, CalPERS saw an aggregate 6.74% return in its 75th percentile ranking. In contrast, pension plans in the top 5th percentile saw an 8.63% aggregate return.

“That is a decision that has had a negative impact on returns,” Junkin told the investment committee regarding CalPERS board embrace of a more global equity portfolio. He noted that abandoning the US home country bias, “could’ve easily gone the other way.”

Indeed, no one has a crystal ball, and there are investment consultants who can line up either way. The pro-US equity market advocates say the good times will continue versus those who argue that the US bull market is bound to reverse course shortly, giving international stocks their day in the sun finally.

Wilshire, for one, is recommending that the status quo continue for CalPERS. Junkin said the consulting firm has taken the same stance with all its clients.  “We believe that exposure to  to global GDP growth is best expressed through a global equity portfolio,” he said.

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