Study: Asian Infrastructure Increasingly Attractive

Asian infrastructure represents one of the best ways to capture growth in the region’s booming economies, a survey by J.P. Morgan Asset Management shows.

(June 20, 2011) — J.P. Morgan Asset Management (JPMAM) believes that Asian infrastructure represents an increasingly attractive opportunity as the region experiences stronger demand for electricity, roads, railways, and phone lines.

“Asian infrastructure is becoming increasingly attractive as a proxy for capturing the longer-term growth outlook of the various Asian economies in light of inflation and rate rises,” commented Vijay Pattabhiraman, Chief Investment Officer for Asian Infrastructure in the Global Real Assets Group of J.P. Morgan Asset Management, noting that urbanisation, the expansion of a wealthier middle class, and increasing domestic consumption have been the key drivers of Asia’s strong growth trends.

Pattabhiraman added: “The increased demand for infrastructure which follows years of underinvestment has created a situation where supply is unable to keep pace with demand. Emerging Asia’s large economies, such as China and India, are significantly behind their more developed peers in the west, which we view as a tremendous opportunity in the upcoming years.”

Coal-fired power is in a stage of rapid expansion in Asia, JPMAM explained. Five of India’s largest private power developers are currently in various stages of developing 40+ gigawatts of new thermal-fired power stations, which is expected to create a drain on the country’s internal resources. As a result of the growth of coal-fired power in India, the country may be forced to import coal from Indonesia, the world’s largest thermal coal exporter with an economic output increasing at around 5% annually.

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The report concluded by saying, “It is evident Asia is growing and infrastructure is central to its development. While, immediate impacts such as rates rises and inflation are increasingly a concern for some investors we believe infrastructure investing is capturing the long-term growth outlook.”



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

As Greece Dumps Infrastructure, Do Institutional Investors Stand to Gain?

While institutional investors may view Greece's selloff of state assets to get loans as an opportunity, some say it's too early to tell.

(June 20, 2011) — As Greece prepares to sell off its state assets — including airports, highways, and state-owned companies as well as banks, real estate and gaming licenses — to raise funds, many in the industry perceive the sale as an opportunity for  infrastructure-hungry institutional investors. 

However, Cynthia Steer, Managing Director of Investment Strategy and Consulting at Russell Investments, believes it’s too early to tell, labeling investor sentiment toward the infrastructure sell off as neutral. “Investors likely view the sale as neutral because they don’t know the implications, as it’s still too early to be determined. Likely buyers still don’t know the price, or any specifics,” she tells aiCIO. “In Greece’s case, they’ll probably be unable to sell many of their assets,” she adds.

This weekend, the European Union approved a second bailout for Greece in an effort to prevent the country’s economic crisis from spreading to the rest of Europe. The massive infrastructure sale reflects rising  concerns over Europe’s currency, the euro.  

Investment consultants, including Steer, maintain that in assessing the sovereign-debt crisis, one should look beyond Europe. Steer asserts that Greece’s sale of assets represents a cautionary tale, signaling a changing view on fiscal responsibility globally. “As we look at Greece and other countries worldwide, everyone is accountable for being fiscally responsible. My feeling is that the sovereign risk issue has intensified and clarified. People are focusing on this issue more broadly. Implications of sovereign risk and how it will impact institutional investors in individual asset classes are still being debated, and they’re higher up on the radar screen.”

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Riding on fears of contagion, the International Monetary Fund has said Greece is well-positioned to avoid the restructuring of its debt, yet it has simultaneously warned that Europe’s debt crisis could still spread to core euro zone countries and the emerging economies of eastern Europe.  Meanwhile, Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan declared in a June 16 interview that a Greek default is “almost certain” and could precipitate another US recession.

“Contagion to the core euro area, and then onwards to emerging Europe, remains a tangible downside risk,” IMF said in its latest economic report — released last month — on Europe. The global lender noted that it would provide additional monetary aid to Greece if needed, yet, contrasting with Greenspan, he indicated that the country is likely headed in the right direction. Calming fears over the sovereign debt crisis in Europe, Antonio Borges, director of the IMF’s European Department, said that the IMF does not currently anticipate the chance of sovereign default in Europe, yet also warned he doesn’t believe in “a miraculous restructuring solution.”

According to the IMF, substantial measures have already been put in place in the euro area to overcome the crisis. Nationally, new policies are being implemented to bolster confidence. Regionally, the governance framework is being revamped. “Important actions are still required to deal decisively with weak banks across Europe’s advanced economies, and to follow through with implementing the EU-wide reforms that have been agreed in principle,” the IMF noted.

Click here to see a video of Russell Investments’ Cynthia Steer focusing on the evolution of country-focused risk management, deflation and inflation in portfolios, and the monetary policy trilemma.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

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