Saudi Arabia’s PIF Reports $16.5B Loss in 2022

Despite the loss, the fund’s AUM grew to approximately $595 billion thanks to a 4% share transfer from Saudi Aramco.



Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund swung to a loss in 2022, losing 58.55 billion Saudi riyals ($15.6 billion), according to its recently released 2022 annual report.

The sovereign wealth fund mainly attributed the loss to unrealized returns on its investments in the Softbank Vision Fund, a SoftBank Group-led venture capital fund, as well as to other investment losses resulting from the market downturn, particularly in the tech sector.

Despite the loss, the Public Investment Fund’s assets under management grew to 2.234 trillion riyals, or approximately $595 billion, from 1.980 trillion riyals in 2021. The fund attributed the increase to a 4% share transfer (worth 296 billion riyals) from the Saudi Arabian Oil Co., also known as Saudi Aramco.

Although the fund omitted its annual return figure from the report, it cited its total shareholder return as 8% per year since September 30, 2017, when it launched its Vision Realization Program.

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The fund’s largest asset allocation was to Saudi equity holdings, which accounted for 32% of the portfolio’s AUM, up from 24% in 2021. Saudi sector development investments accounted for 21% of the portfolio, up from 16% the previous year. International strategic investments made up 10% of the assets, down from 20% one year earlier, while Treasury investments accounted for 9% of the assets, also down from 20% in 2021.

Saudi real estate and infrastructure development also accounted for 9% of the asset allocation, the same as one year earlier, while its international capital markets program comprised 8% of the portfolio, up from 6% in 2021. Approximately 5% was made up of Saudi giga projects, up from 2%, and 3% went to an international diversified pool, the same percentage as in the previous year. The fund noted that totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

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Moody’s Surprises the Market With Bank Downgrades

Post-SVB, most thought all was well with the banking system, but the rating agency sees worrisome weaknesses.

 

It’s ba-a-a-a-ack. The market recoiled Tuesday after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded 10 regional U.S. lenders and placed six major banks under review for a possible downgrade.

This came after investors had assumed the banking crisis from the spring was over. Their dismay was reminiscent of the shock from hockey-mask-wearing fiend Jason’s resurrection in the “Friday the 13th” movies. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 lost 0.4%, the KBW Bank Index was off 1.2% and the KBW Nasdaq Regional Bank Index fell 1.4%.

Investors were jolted when Moody’s downgraded the 10 smaller lenders (which included M&T Bank Corp. and Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc.), put the six large banks under review (among them State Street Corp. and U.S. Bancorp) and gave 11 more regionals negative outlooks, meaning they could be on a future downgrade list (notably PNC Financial Services Group Inc. and Fifth Third Bancorp).

The 10 downgrades were not harsh: The affected banks are still investment grade, each knocked down a single notch. M&T, for instance, was demoted to A3 from A2. Anything below Baa3 is in junk territory.

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“We continue to expect a mild recession in early 2024, and given the funding strains on the U.S. banking sector, there will likely be a tightening of credit conditions and rising loan losses for U.S. banks,” Moody’s wrote in its report, explaining the actions.

The rating agency’s report pointed at how banks’ net interest margins have contracted this year, to 2.0 percentage points lately from 3.25 in January. A measure of profitability, the margin is the difference between what a bank earns in interest and the (lower) amount it pays out for deposits.

Moody’s noted that, as the Fed has raised interest rates, many banks are paying more to attract and keep deposits, which are the lifeblood of their finances. Further, the agency stated, many banks, mostly the smaller ones, are saddled with an onerous expense: suffering from deposit flight, these institutions have turned to costly brokered deposits, which third parties sell to them for a fee.

In the spring, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and two other small banking companies shocked the stock market. But as large banks and regulators moved in to shore up the small fries, no 2008-style system failure ensued. Since May, the two KBW bank indexes have partially recovered, regaining about half of their losses from the crisis.

Although the SVB-related woes appeared to be resolved, credit weaknesses remain a persistent presence on the financial scene. Moody’s move comes a week after Fitch Ratings dropped the rating of the U.S. government—and by extension U.S. Treasurys and the debt of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—one notch to AA+ from its top rank, AAA. In May, the nation barely escaped a U.S. default when Congress and the White House struck a last-minute deal to raise the federal debt ceiling.

In Moody’s eyes, banking may be getting riskier than is prudent. Given Americans’ penchant for debt, however, there’s an argument that this situation is to be expected from time to time.

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