Rhode Island Pension Sues Restaurant Brands over Offerings

Lawsuit alleges the fast-food company misled investors about the underperformance of its Tim Hortons chain.


Rhode Island’s Warwick Municipal Employees Pension Fund has filed a class action securities lawsuit against fast-food chain owner Restaurant Brands International for allegedly misleading investors about the performance of its Tim Hortons restaurants in a shelf registration statement related to two public stock offerings.

The lawsuit centers on Restaurant Brands’ August 2019 secondary public offering of 24 million shares of the company’s stock at $73.50 each, and a September 2019 offering of just under 16.7 million shares at $75.10 each.

According to the lawsuit, Restaurant Brands launched a growth strategy for Tim Hortons at the time of the offerings that included new product offerings and a loyalty program that aimed to increase customer traffic and boost sales. The lawsuit notes that Tim Hortons is the largest restaurant chain in Canada and said it is Restaurant Brands’ primary revenue generator.

The suit claims that at the time of the offerings, the discounting associated with the loyalty program was “not being offset by customer traffic and purchases, exacerbated by failed product offerings, and was negatively affecting the company’s sales and its ability to compete effectively.”

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The complaint also says that the company acknowledged after the offerings that the discounting through the loyalty program had a negative impact on sales. It claims that as a result of the “undisclosed adverse facts,” Restaurant Brands’ stock “plummeted” this year from its offering prices of $73.50 and $75.10 to close 26% lower at $55.41 per share on Oct. 26.

“The shelf registration statement falsely represented Restaurant Brands’ growth potential, misleadingly touted the success of the Tims Rewards program, and failed to disclose that frequent data metrics showed the failure of the Tims Rewards program in driving sustainable growth,” according to the complaint. “In reality, at the time of the offerings, the loyalty program was dragging sales and generated an unsustainable level of discounting that outweighed customer traffic.”

The lawsuit also names 15 individual defendants, including CEO José Cil, Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Matthew Dunnigan, and several members of the company’s board of directors, as well as the company’s controlling stockholders, 3G Capital Partners and 3G Restaurant Brands Holdings. The complaint says 3G Capital Partners and 3G Restaurant Brands “offloaded almost 10% of [their] holdings in Restaurant Brands stock.”

The complaint said that in late October 2019, Restaurant Brands “shocked investors” when it reported that quarterly revenue missed analysts’ expectations. It said the company noted that Tim Hortons’ results “were not where [they] want them to be” and attributed weaker-than-expected revenue to an offset of sales due to discounting and traffic in the Tim Hortons loyalty program.

“On this news, Restaurant Brands share price fell from $68.45 to $64.86 per share over the following two days of trading, a drop of over 5%,” said the complaint. “Since the offerings, the value of Restaurant Brands’ shares has collapsed from its prices of $73.50 and $75.10.”

In response to the lawsuit, Restaurant Brands said in its most recent quarterly report that the company “is currently evaluating the lawsuit, but believes that the claims are without merit and intends to vigorously defend” itself.

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Democrats Favored to Win the Senate, but Odds Narrow, Goldman Says

The firm’s analysis, based on stocks affected by a Biden tax boost, tracks findings of the prediction markets.


Wall Street prognosticators, who opine on stocks and the economy regularly, are closely following the races for the US Senate. They join the prediction markets in giving better than even odds to the Democrats taking over the Senate. But that Dem lead has slipped recently.

According to a Goldman Sachs analysis, stocks that would be affected by a corporate tax hike—which a President Joe Biden and a Democratic Senate and House would likely enact—indicate slightly lower odds that the Democrats will prevail in taking control of the upper chamber.

In September, Goldman’s stock indicator showed about 70% odds of the Democrats winning the Senate. Now, that has fallen to roughly 58%. Meanwhile, the prediction markets’ take on the Dems’ chances has fallen to around 55% from 65%.

Democratic presidential nominee Biden has proposed partly rolling back the 2017 corporate tax decrease that President Donald Trump and Congress (with Republicans then in charge of both houses) passed. The tax was lowered to 21% from 35%, and Biden wants to lift it to 28%.

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The House now is in the Democrats’ hands, and there are more GOP than Democratic Senate seats up for election, 23 versus 12. That makes maintaining a Senate majority more difficult for the Republicans. Not to mention that some of the Senate races in traditionally Republican states are competitive.

“The upshot is that, while financial market participants are taking a view on the election outcome,” wrote Goldman analysts Blake Taylor and Alec Phillips, “the implied probabilities suggest that they, like prediction markets, are taking a somewhat more cautious view of the publicly available polling data.”

The 2016 polling failed to pick up how tight the presidential contest had become, although Democrat Hillary Clinton’s lead back then was smaller than that of former Vice President Biden’s this time (he leads Trump by 9 percentage points, in an average of different surveys). How well the top of the ticket fares often has an impact on state-level elections, namely for the Senate. In key battleground states, Biden is ahead but by less of a margin than he has nationally.

For the 23 Republican-held Senate seats on the ballot, the Cook Political Report contends, two lean Democratic and seven are toss-ups. Assessing the 12 the Democrats hold, just one leans Republican, in traditionally GOP Alabama. That’s occupied by Senator Doug Jones, who won in a 2017 special election, to fill a vacancy when Republican Jeff Sessions left to become US attorney general.

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