Report: Private Equity Outstrips Gains From Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate

According to one research firm, private equity has left other asset classes in the dust over the past 10 years.

(October 5, 2012) — A $1 investment by pension funds in private equity has yielded a return of $2.30 over 10 years, easily outstripping gains from stocks, bonds and real estate.

These assertions come from a report released by the Private Equity Growth Capital Council, a Washington, DC-based lobbying, advocacy, and research organization. The firm is “focused on defending and promoting the private equity and growth capital investment industry,” as noted on its Wikipedia page.

Another claim by the firm: Pension funds’ investments in private equity outperform other asset classes based on median 10-year annualized returns, based on an analysis among 151 public pension funds. “There is no question of the value of private equity to public pension funds,” says Steve Judge, president and CEO of PEGCC, in a statement. “Private equity delivers for retirees and workers across the United States, helping secure the retirements of millions of Americans and strengthen the organizations they work for.”

The report by the Private Equity Growth Capital Council also found that the asset class in question accounts for 9.6% of large public pension fund allocations and that pension private equity portfolios in the lower quartile yield better 10-year annualized returns than the upper quartile of public equity portfolios by nearly 2%.

For more stories like this, sign up for the CIO Alert newsletter.

So does this report by a private equity “lobbying” association hold weight?

According to Barry Feldman, a senior research analyst at Russell Investments, the research firm’s report must be viewed with a grain of salt due to the opaqueness of the asset class. Stellar gains in private equity must be viewed with skepticism, according to Feldman, due to the sector’s lack of liquidity and high fees that cut into overall returns for institutional investors.

Related video: The Changing Relationship Between Institutional Investors and Alternatives

The Global Portfolio (Yes, We Mean Everyone's)

Three top Dutch experts have traced global asset allocation for the last two decades, and calculated to world’s aggregate portfolio. 

(November 5, 2012) – Three Dutch allocation specialists took time from their day jobs to produce one the most rigorous estimates of the global aggregate portfolio ever, and have published it in whitepaper. 

Authors include Robeco’s Chief Strategist Ronald Doeswijk and Vice President Laurens Swinkels, as well as Rabobanks’s Trevin Lam, a quantitative analyst. 

Their results: At the close of 2011, the total value of invested assets globally was approximately US$83.5 trillion. 

Of that, 54.6% was in fixed income: 30% in government bonds, 18.4% in non-governmental bonds, 2.6% in emerging market debt, 2.2% in inflation linked bonds, and 1.4% in high-yield debt. 

For more stories like this, sign up for the CIO Alert newsletter.

The average equities allocation isn’t quite the standby 40%, but it’s close at 34.7%. In total, that’s $29 trillion worth of stocks, according to the authors. Still, equities represent the smallest portion of the global portfolio since 1959—the first year for which the authors analyzed data. Allocations peaked around 1969 at 64.1%, and fell sharply after the 2008 financial crisis. 

Fixed-income allocations absorbed the slack as investors fled the stock market, according to the authors’ data, with both sovereign and corporate fixed-income allocations at near record highs. 

These figures include all assets that investors have actually invested in, thereby excluding durable consumption goods, human capital, personal housing, government stakes in companies, and central bank holdings of gold. 

Doeswijk, Swinkels, and Lam undertook this “non-trival exercise” (as they put it) to create a comprehensive benchmark for strategic asset allocation. “It can also be used as a starting point for portfolio construction or as a sanity check to determine deviations of the investor’s portfolio from the market portfolio,” they wrote in the introduction. “In addition, investors employing tactical asset allocation strategies might use large deviations from long-term average market portfolio weights as a valuation indicator. But, aside from these practical perspectives, the market portfolio is also interesting from a theoretical perspective.” 

Read the entire whitepaper, “Strategic Asset Allocation: The Global Multi-Asset Market Portfolio 1959-2011,” here.  

Global Portfolio

 

 

 

 

«