PIMCO’s Gross Says Fed Exit May Debilitate Markets

The influential bond fund manager, warning of “carefree check writing,” said that with central bank support removed, markets may suffer.

(January 7, 2010) — Bill Gross, the king of debt investing who runs the world’s biggest mutual fund at Pacific Investment Management Co. (PIMCO), said that as governments withdraw stimulus measures, asset markets in the U.S. and U.K. may see tough times ahead.


In a monthly investment outlook, Gross, managing director and a founder of PIMCO, said the U.S. economy is likely not strong enough to handle the end of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program meant to decrease borrowing costs and stimulate growth. He expressed concern over the Fed’s withdrawal of liquidity to markets and he focused on the Fed’s plans to stop its program of buying Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities, scheduled to end in March.


“Most ‘carry’ trades in credit, duration, and currency space may be at risk in the first half of 2010 as the markets readjust to the absence of their ‘sugar daddy,’” Gross said in a four-page commentary posted on PIMCO’s Web site, entitled “Let’s Get Fiscal.” He added that if exit strategies proceed as planned, all U.S. and U.K. asset markets may suffer from the absence of the nearly $2 trillion of government checks written in 2009.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Kristopher McDaniel at <a href='mailto:kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com'>kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com</a>

Survey: University Endowments Fall 19%

A recent study shows U.S. college and university endowments lost nearly one-fifth of their value in the 2009 fiscal year.

(January, 7, 2010) – A new study shows a sharp drop – mitigated by a slight late-year rebound – in university endowments in fiscal 2009, ending June 30.


According to the survey, the average endowment loss was 19% in fiscal 2009. The preliminary 10-year average net return is 4.2%, according to data from the survey by the National Association College and University Business Officers (NACUBO) and the Commonfund Institute.


As for asset allocation: for the year ended June 30, colleges and universities invested:

 

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  • 51% of their portfolios in alternative investments,
  • 19% in domestic equities,
  • 13% in fixed income,
  • 12% in international equities, and
  • 5% in cash or other short-term securities

 


Preliminary findings are based on responses from 504 colleges and universities, their supporting foundations, and community colleges. Final results, which will also specify the size of endowments and the types of institutions (public, private and foundations), will be available January 27 at the NACUBO Endowment Management Forum in New York City. More than 800 institutions are expected to participate.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Kristopher McDaniel at <a href='mailto:kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com'>kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com</a>

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