OCIO Industry Set for Strong Growth, Alts Expansion

One out of four asset owners expect to use anoutsourced chief investment officer in the next two years, says report.

Approximately 25% of asset owners expect to use an outsourced CIO in some capacity over the next two years, says a new report from research and consulting firm Cerulli Associates.

According to the report, which polled 172 institutional asset owners, 14% said they expect to begin using an OCIO relationship, and 11% expect to expand the use of OCIO by moving from a partial portfolio to a total portfolio mandate or by adding other asset pools that are currently managed in-house. Only 6% said they expect to reduce or stop using OCIO services.

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The report also indicates that many institutions could move to a model in which the OCIO provider has full discretion , and that asset owners plan to increase allocations to emerging markets debt, private debt, infrastructure and real estate investments.

“Asset owners are increasingly drawn to the OCIO model for the management of sleeves for alternatives and private asset classes for which they do not think they have the appropriate level of expertise,” Laura Levesque, an associate director at Cerulli, said in a release. “Given market conditions, these asset allocation trends are in line with what Cerulli would expect—all four asset classes provide some level of diversification from other public market investments.”

OCIO assets under management are expected to grow at an annual rate of 5.5% during the , up from $2.4 trillion at 2021 year-end. However, the growth rates vary significantly by client type, from 3.1% for corporate defined benefit clients to 10.2% for foundations. The report also found that the top 10 OCIO providers by AUM account for approximately 45% of the total OCIO assets managed in the U.S, while the top 20 account for about 65% of the market.

The asset owners polled said the most mentioned topics of interest over the next year are allocation questions (77%), followed by questions concerning current portfolio holdings (69%). Although Cerulli expects new OCIO adoption to remain strong, the report said that capital markets expectations will be a headwind to asset growth.

Key services sought by asset owners from OCIO providers, aside from managing alternative asset classes, also include risk analytics, bundled plan administration and online portal access, according to the report.

“Asset owners want access to how their investments are performing at their fingertips,” Levesque said in the release. “OCIO providers that can offer granular transparency with anytime, anywhere access to investment performance will be well-positioned to win mandates.”

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IPOs: Off to a Poor Start as 2023 Kicks Off

A mere 15 offerings have been filed thus far, fewer than in previous years.

If the old saw is true that January determines how the investing year will fare, 2023 doesn’t look good for initial public offerings. The count thus far this year is just 15 offerings filed, down almost a third versus this point in 2022 (20 launched then), according to Renaissance Capital.

This is not good news for private equity firms seeking exit opportunities for their portfolio companies—and by extension, for the asset allocators who have chosen PE as a prime holding. Last year was pretty lousy for IPOs, with 71 filers raising almost $8 billion. Compare that with record-setting 2021, when the stock market was on fire: 397 offerings and $142 billion garnered, per Renaissance.

Not a single IPO last year raised $1 billion, a trend that carries over to 2023, FactSet figures show. The largest offering in 2022 was Intel’s spinoff of MobilEye, a self-driving car business, which bagged just less than $1 billion. 

This year, the biggest IPO in the pipeline is TXO Energy Partners LP, an oil and gas producer, which aims to get $100 million when it goes public on Friday, Morningstar researchers say. The next by size is QuantaSing Group Limited, which holds China’s largest adult online learning service provider; it aims to sell for $41 million. The rest are below $13 million. These are all included in the 15 filings, year to date.

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Forecasts of a possible recession this year are not helping public offerings. What could turn things around? A stock market increase, for a change. At this early stage, the S&P 500 is up 4.6% in 2023, after a tiny dip Tuesday. The index lost 19% in 2022.

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