Norway Restructuring Real Estate Program

New organization model coming in April.

Norway’s $1 trillion sovereign wealth fundplans to cull some of its unlisted real estate assets and discontinue the organization’s property arm.

Norges Bank, which manages the investments of the Government Pension Fund Global (GPFG), wants to reduce its target allocation for the segment to between 3% and 5%, from 7%.

Because such a small fraction of its assets will now be capped to invest in the space, the board decided it will discontinue its real estate organization and manage those holdings under its main investment vehicle, according to a letter to Norway’s Ministry of Finance.

“The strategy is to be simple, with emphasis on cost-efficiency,” the fund said.

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The world’s largest sovereign wealth fund has chosen to cut back on unlisted assets to instead focus on listed real estate companies as it has struggled to buy unlisted properties on the cheap. Listed companies are those that are traded on an exchange, like a real estate investment trust. Unlisted are privately held and not traded.

This stirred criticism last year when its finance ministry called the investment division’s unlisted properties “trophy assets” and said these moves lack transparency. In the letter, the bank said that while investments in listed items require less resources, there “should be sufficient flexibility” for some unlisted ventures that “may arise.”

“Investments shall normally not be made in development projects and should be confined to a few strategic cities,” the letter said. “Recent years’ experience with unlisted real estate investments shows that such investments may be complex and resource-intensive.”

Although Norges Bank wants to simplify its property strategy, the implications in major markets such as the US and UK will be felt as these areas lose out on some deals with the largest unlisted real estate investor.

There is no set ratio for how much of the real estate portfolio will comprise of listed or unlisted assets.

After discussions stemming from 2007, the bank first began allocating to real estate in 2010. The 7% target was established in 2016.  As of September 30, 2018, the fund allocated 2.7% to real estate. The rest is in bonds (29.7%) and equities (67.6%).

Norges Bank Real Estate Management, the fading arm, has been active since 2014 as a separate division of the bank’s investment management facility. The bank is expecting some job cuts after the integration.

A new business model for Norges Bank Investment Management will take effect April 1.

“We would like to emphasize that real estate will continue to be an important part of the bank’s investment strategy for the GPFG, and the fund will be a major player in the real estate markets in the years to come,” said Norges Bank, which was unable to be reached for comment

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Nasdaq May Be Poised for a Big Rally, Tech Guru Says

Paul Meeks forecasts a double-digit advance for tech-heavy index in 2019.

So maybe we’ve hit the bottom for tech stocks. A prominent Nasdaq bear thinks the tech-heavy index will enjoy a big surge by year-end. And indeed, the Nasdaq Composite is bulling its way out of the December slump that put it in a bear market.

Paul Meeks, who made a name for himself running six tech mutual funds for Merrill Lynch in the late 1990s and early 2000s, told CNBC that “when you get to December 31 of this year, the Nasdaq will be up double digit in calendar 2019.” He said he expected Nasdaq to outpace both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 this year.

But at the end of 2018, when tech stocks were tumbling, he cautioned that they were “uninvestable.” This sentiment is one of several downbeat investment developments that has caused pension funds, for example, to expect lower returns this year.

The reason for the switch: Tech stocks have lost sufficient value that some are worth buying now, provided that investors are cautious.

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Since its Christmas Eve low, the Nasdaq has climbed almost 18% through Friday. Fourth quarter earnings reports for the biggest tech names were mixed, but at least have provided enough optimism to propel the Nasdaq higher.

Apple, for instance, pared its quarterly revenue forecast for the first time in more than 15 years, pointing to plummeting iPhone sales in China. Institutions and individual investors alike took a beating on the once high-flying stock. But the fact remains that Apple still turns robust profits and sports an enormous cash trove. No wonder that, with the stock down some 40% from the autumn, investors began snapping it up after New Year’s Day.

Meanwhile, Facebook posted record earnings in the last quarter, and this despite all the heat it is getting over privacy and other issues from pension heads, regulators, and lawmakers.

Now managing a small fund called the Wireless Fund, Meeks still owns the FANG stocks—Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google parent Alphabet—although he cautioned against adding more at this time. He said he believed they will face more of a rocky road in the next few months due to ongoing US-China trade clashes.

Overall, however, Meeks said, “I’m starting to creep out of the bunker.”

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