Northern Trust Reveals Growing Optimism Among Institutional Investment Managers

A quarterly survey conducted by Northern Trust Global Advisors reveals that institutional investment managers see a double-dip recession as unlikely amid stabilizing markets.

(October 14, 2010) — A recent survey by Northern Trust Global Advisors (NTGA) shows institutional investment managers have improved expectations for global growth in the third quarter and see a double-dip recession as unlikely as markets stabilize.

The study revealed increased optimism among managers — 68% of managers said the US will avoid a double-dip recession, while 67% of managers expect the unemployment rate to decrease over the next six months.

“Our third quarter survey revealed some subtle but encouraging shifts in manager sentiment,” said Chris Vella, global director of research for NTGA, in a statement. “The most notable trend is toward a sense of stabilization within equity markets, as well as an uptick in global growth expectations.”

Additionally, managers expressed sentiment that the US unemployment would ease in the next six months and that financial markets would react favorably to a November election that shifts the balance of power in Congress, according to a release by the investment management business of Northern Trust Corporation. In NTGA’s survey, when questioned about whether voters should place Republicans in control of the House or Senate next month, 84% of institutional money managers expected investors to react favorably.

Never miss a story — sign up for CIO newsletters to stay up-to-date on the latest institutional investment industry news.

The study also highlighted that an increasing number of managers believe emerging markets are undervalued. Investment managers cited technology, emerging markets, healthcare, industrials and energy as the top five most attractive market segments. Energy dropped in the rankings, while emerging markets and industrials moved up in the quarter.

In terms of risk-aversion, only 8% of managers stated they are more risk-averse than three months ago, down from 31% in the second quarter. NTGA showed the number of managers who appear to be satisfied with the risk levels of their portfolio increased from 48% in the second quarter to 65% in the third quarter, the highest level since the firm began the survey in Q4 of 2008.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

LGIM Says Institutional Activism Will Improve on Heels of Stewardship Code

Andy Banks, head of corporate governance at Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM), says the UK's Stewardship Code has given shareholders the essential ability to consult with each other when issues arise at companies in which they invest.

(October 14, 2010) — Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM) says the UK’s Stewardship Code will improve collective engagement among asset owners, giving institutional investors greater oversight in the boardroom.

The code has urged for more collective engagement. LGIM’s Head of Corporate Governance Andy Banks stated in a release: “We do feel there is a receptive environment for more collective engagement. Investors are keen to do it and engage together. Companies should expect to be meeting groups of investors in the future.”

LGIM added that while relations between institutional investors and company management has faced difficulties in the past, the financial crisis has helped spur a new environment for corporate governance, stressing the role of non-executive directors in challenging management decisions. He urged companies to be more proactive in scrutinizing succession planning to maintain long-term value for shareholders.

“The financial crisis exposed material shortcomings in the incentive, risk management, and internal control systems of many companies,” stated Banks, noting that good corporate governance is the most likely way to build shareholder value over the long term. “Cultural issues also surfaced, with excessive short-term risk taking being promoted over long-term value creation.” LGIM said that five key areas of corporate governance are back on the table for review – collective engagement, the role of the non-executive directors, board evaluation and succession planning, regulation and remuneration.

Want the latest institutional investment industry
news and insights? Sign up for CIO newsletters.

LGIM complies with the UK Stewardship Code and has also signed up to the UN Principles for Responsible Investment.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

«