New York State Pension Loses $26 Billion in Asset Value in Q1

Common Retirement Fund reports 8.24% loss amid volatile markets, rising inflation and war.


The New York State Common Retirement Fund’s fiscal year 2023 got off to a rough start as its investment portfolio lost an estimated 8.24% for the first quarter, which ended June 30, to lower the pension fund’s asset value to an estimated $246.3 billion, according to a news release. The fund’s long-term expected rate of return is 5.9%.

“The first three months of the fiscal year brought upheaval to the financial markets amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, rising inflation and supply chain issues that continue to affect the economy,” New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli said in a statement. “The fund’s prudent management and diverse holdings have helped make it one of the best-funded public pension funds in the nation and it remains well-positioned to weather the up and downs of the markets.”

Earlier this month, the pension fund reported a 9.5% return for the fiscal year that ended March 31, when its asset value climbed to $272.1 billion. However, not all of the $25.8 billion in lost asset value is a result of investment performance, as $3.69 billion in benefits was paid out to retirees and beneficiaries during the quarter.

The pension fund altered its asset allocation during the quarter, with the most significant change being a 5% reduction in publicly traded equities, which is not surprising considering the market volatility during the period. The fund used those assets to increase its real estate and real assets allocation by 2.1%; its private equity allocation by 1.36%; its cash, bonds and mortgages by 1.22%; and its credit, absolute return strategies and opportunistic alternatives allocation by 0.32%.

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As of June 30, the pension fund’s asset allocation was 44.7% in publicly traded equities; 22.4% in cash, bonds and mortgages; 15% in private equity; 12.1% in real estate and real assets; and 5.8% in credit, absolute return strategies and opportunistic alternatives.

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High Oil Prices Ahead … Again?

Crude prices leap as Saudi oil minister says cartel needs to cut back production.



Could oil, the price or which has sunk 20% since June, be poised for a U-turn, and possibly climb back above $100 per barrel? Talk from Saudi Arabia about restricting production raised that possibility—and gave investors the willies on Tuesday.

 

Crude jumped up by almost 3.8% yesterday. The catalyst: OPEC Plus may have to slice its output, Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman told Bloomberg, citing what he called “extreme” volatility and lack of liquidity in the futures market. His nation is the biggest producer in the 23-country alliance. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% in Tuesday trading, the index’s third straight day of losses.

 

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Oil prices had been on the downswing lately. As recently as June, West Texas Intermediate was at $122 per barrel, but it fell below $100 in July, amid worries about the global economy and the potential of more Iranian oil coming into the market. WTI ducked as low as $86 last week, then began ascending again and touched just beneath $94 on Tuesday.

 

Saudi Arabia and the rest of the OPEC Plus group have steadily increased production this year, reversing all of the decreases made during the pandemic’s onset, as demand came back and Russian supply slid amid sanctions for its invasion of Ukraine.

 

But if the U.S. economy weakens, so too should demand for oil.  According to the Saudi prince, the cartel will have no trouble quickly engineering output cuts to match it. 

 

“The oil market will remain tight whether business activity continues to weaken sharply or if economic growth remains choppy,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at OANDA, in a research note.

 

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Oil Price Will Keep Climbing, by Another 12%, Goldman Says

 

Oil Is the New Sin Stock, and That’s a Boost for the Sector, BCA Says

 

Market Turmoil Sinks Norway’s Pension Giant by $173 Billion in First Half

 

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