New York Common Fund Loses 2.7% in Fiscal Year

The pension plan, which closed its books in March, had incrementally dialed up an allocation to conservative assets. 


The New York State Common Retirement Fund (NYSCRF) lost about 2.7% in its most recent fiscal year. 

In the fiscal year ending March 31, the New York state pension fund was worth $194.3 billion, approximately a $16 billion loss from its $210.5 billion valuation last April, according to a Thursday release from the fund. About $13.25 billion of the loss comes from retirement and death benefits paid out during the fiscal year. 

The market sell-off from the coronavirus pandemic in the fund’s fourth quarter reduced the plan’s assets for the year, despite them growing to as much as $225 billion by December after a solid first three quarters. The Common Retirement Fund is one of just a few pension plans that ends its fiscal year in March, versus the majority of pension plans that end in June. It has a 6.8% target rate of return. 

“Despite very solid returns through February, the coronavirus sent markets into a tailspin just as we were closing the books on our fiscal year,” New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli said. “The fund has already recovered much of those losses, but volatility and uncertainty will persist until our public health crisis is resolved.”

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Still, the NYSCRF performed better than the last time the country fell into a recession. In fiscal year 2009, the pension fund lost roughly $45 billion in asset value, or about a 26% fall to $109 billion. 

That may have spurred state pension plan leaders to keep a close eye on their asset allocation strategy. Even before the pandemic forced Americans to shelter in place, investment leaders concerned about slowing economic growth incrementally dialed up the portfolio’s allocation to conservative assets. Leaders worried about risky investments in a low interest rate environment had lowered the target rate of return to 6.8%, down from 7%. 

In March 2020, cash, bonds, and mortgages amounted to about 26% of the fund’s total portfolio, up from 18% in April 2019. Over the same time period, the fund also reduced its exposure to public equities to 49%, down from 55% last year. 

As of March, the fund also had an 11% allocation in private equity, 10% in real estate and real assets, and 3.9% in absolute return strategies and opportunities alternatives. 

The NYSCRF is one of the best-funded pension plans in the nation. Last year, a Pew study found that New York was one of just eight state pension plans that was more than 90% funded based on 2017 data. The others are Idaho, Nebraska, North Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, and Wisconsin. Last fiscal year, the NYSCRF was 96% funded. 

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Maybe, Just Maybe, the Virus Woes Have Peaked

Commonwealth’s McMillan sees encouraging pandemic data, and thinks the recovery can continue.


Everyone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell to Moody’s Investors Service says the path of the coronavirus will determine how the economy can regain its feet. But amid all the somber pandemic news, Commonwealth’s Brad McMillan notes that there may be cause for optimism on the COVID-19 front.

“The most likely case appears to be continued recovery,” he argued in a commentary.

As of Wednesday, said McMillan, CIO of Commonwealth Financial Network, the number of new cases was about 70,000, around the same as a week ago. But the daily spread rate has narrowed a bit, down to just 1.5% per day, from around 2%. The tests for the disease, ranging between 750,000 and 850,000 daily, show that the positive rate has fallen to under 8%, he said.

“Control measures imposed in multiple states appear to be working, although (as expected) it will take more time to see further improvement,” McMillan wrote.

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Looking at the past week, he concluded that “the second wave has likely peaked, and the data suggests that this wave will be brought under control over the next several weeks just as the first wave was.” He admitted that, should the outbreaks in the Sunbelt worsen and spread, the recovery would be in trouble. Still, he went on, ”this outcome looks even less likely this week than last.”

He conceded that economic indicators are mixed. Initial jobless claims report were higher than anticipated, and continuing unemployment claims increased, too. While consumer confidence has nudged down a little, the gauge remains above the recent bottoms. By the same token, the most recent retail sales report indicated that consumer retail spending has now returned to pre-pandemic levels, although higher-frequency spending data were not as good.

To be sure, there has been a strong stock rally that hit a high point in the S&P 500 a week ago. Thursday’s 0.38% dip capped several days of ups and downs lately.

Nonetheless, other financial developments show a strong strain of caution amid a chunk of the investing world. The 10-year Treasury yield has fallen back to levels last seen during the freak-out in the early days of the pandemic: On Thursday, it dropped down to 0.54%, as investors piled into the perceived safety of Treasury paper. That’s just a hair above the 2020 low point of 0.50% on March 9.

The ultimate refuge asset, gold, is soaring, up almost 27% this year. Geopolitical developments are dicey. Animosity is flaring between China and the US.

Skeptics wonder whether the economy has been bashed so hard that it will take a long time to recover, virus cessation or not. The Federal Reserve’s efforts to keep the economy moving, which have aided the stock market, prompted Seth Klarman, head of hedge fund firm Baupost Group, to question the sustainability of the rally since March.

“As with the 30-year-olds still living in their parents’ basements,” he wrote in a note to clients, “we can only wonder whether the markets will ever be expected to make it on their own.”

As of June 30, Baupost kept 31% of its portfolio in cash, reported Bloomberg News, which also revealed Klarman’s negative client note. That’s an increase from 26% in April. The hedge operation sold off stocks, mortgage-backed securities, and a single unnamed corporate debt issue. The firm wouldn’t comment.

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