Market Volatility Creates Short-Term Declines, Long-Term Opportunity for Public Pensions

While the nation's largest public pension funds have been slowly climbing their way back to pre-crisis levels, the recent market slump has erased billions of dollars in gains.

(August 10, 2011) — While pension funds in the United States have enjoyed a strong year as they slowly return to pre-crisis levels, the recentmarket slump has contributed to short-term declines and long-term opportunity.

“In the near term, it’s not good; in the long term it’s an opportunity,” Joseph Dear, the chief investment officer of the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS), told CNBC, describing the recent market volatility.

CalPERS, the nation’s largest public pension fund, lost about $18 billion off the value of its stock portfolio from July 1 until Tuesday’s market rebound.

The large decline comes just weeks after both CalPERS and the California Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) — posted annual investment gains of more than 20% in the fiscal year that ended June 3, fueled largely by stock values. While CalPERS’ assets grew by $37 billion to $237.5 billion, CalSTRS added $29 billion to reach $154.3 billion.

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The market turmoil has also plagued international pension funds. The Netherlands’ ABP, one of the world’s biggest schemes, told the Wall Street Journal that the market slump is having a substantial impact on its funding ratio, which fell below 100% in the beginning of August from 106% at the end of July.

A study by Mercer has revealed that market volatility in the first six trading days of August has dealt a severe blow to pension plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies, with the aggregate funded status decreasing by $191 billion to a funding deficit of $496 billion and an aggregate funded ratio of 73% as of the market close on August 8.

“What we are seeing is yet another “perfect storm” of equity losses combined with a drop in interest rates, similar to what we saw in 2000/2001 and 2008.” said Jonathan Barry, a partner in Mercer’s Retirement Risk and Finance group, in a statement. “The 73% funded ratio we saw at the end of the day on Monday is the lowest level since August, 2010.”

Last month, a report by the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) warned that while pension fund asset levels in most countries continue to show strong growth and are on the way to returning to pre-crisis levels, the outlook for future economic growth is still in question. Andre Laboul, head of the OECD’s financial affairs division, stated: “Having weathered the financial crisis, pension fund asset levels in most countries continue to show strong growth and are on the way to returning to pre-crisis levels. During 2010, both economic and financial indicators showed signs of further recovery. However, the outlook for future economic growth in developed economies remains uncertain and sluggish.”



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

As Energy Needs Spike, China's CIC Partners With GDF Suez

The China Investment Corp is investing as much as $4 billion to take a stake in French energy company GDF Suez SA.

(August 10, 2011) — The $410 billion China Investment Corporation (CIC) has confirmed investment in French energy company GDF Suez SA.

The Chinese sovereign wealth fund revealed that it is investing up to $4 billion in the firm in an effort to expand its investments in Western energy companies.

According to the sovereign wealth fund, the CIC will take a 30% stake in the energy company’s exploration-and-production business for as much as $3.15 billion. “As part of the transaction, CIC would also acquire GDF Suez’s stake in the Atlantic LNG liquefaction plant located in Trinidad and Tobago for an amount of $850 million,” the CIC wrote in a statement posted on its website.

Aiming to meet the energy needs of the world’s most rapidly-growing economy, the two companies will cooperate more in gas, electricity, water, and energy efficiency services, with the Asia-Pacific region being a major focus.

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Last week, the CIC reported that after boosting its allocation to equities and alternatives, the sovereign wealth fund posted a 11.7% return for a second year in 2010.

“The international investment environment is getting more complicated, and there’s great uncertainties towards sustained global recovery and growth,” CIC Chairman Lou Jiwei said in the fund’s 2010 annual report, referencing factors such as the eurozone crisis and soaring commodities prices. According to the CIC’s report, the fund decreased investment proportions in North America and Latin America in 2010 while upping its exposure to the Asia-Pacific region, Europe and Africa.

In terms of asset allocation, the CIC funneled money into private equity, infrastructure projects, direct investment and real estate. Meanwhile, alternative investments increased to 21% of the global portfolio from 6% in 2009.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

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