Is Infrastructure Becoming Efficient?

The hunt for yield is only getting harder.

Demand for infrastructure investments is driving down the potential returns pension funds can expect from the asset class, according to research by Cerulli Associates.

Nearly 70% of European pension funds surveyed by Cerulli indicated that they wanted to increase exposure to infrastructure assets in the next three to five years, in a bid to diversify away from expensive core assets such as equities and fixed income.

“What is going on at the heart of many institutions’ portfolios is saving, not investing.” —Cerulli Associates.But the group’s report—“European Institutional Dynamics 2015”—indicated that limited supply combined with demanding new rules for some investors meant allocating to alternative asset classes was not straightforward.

Demand for infrastructure has pushed valuations significantly higher: Dow Jones’ Brookfield Global Infrastructure Composite index of listed infrastructure companies rose 28% in the past 12 months according to Bloomberg.

Want the latest institutional investment industry
news and insights? Sign up for CIO newsletters.

As well as a lack of assets, Cerulli also cited impending Solvency II rules for insurance companies as a potential problem for both investors and asset managers. The rules will require insurers to hold more capital to back certain investments, particularly those perceived to be more risky. In addition, such investments will require more detailed and more regular reporting.

However, Cerulli’s research reported that fees were less likely to deter institutions from investing. The report said the cost of investing in alternative assets “only rank mid-pack” on the list of things to consider. “Risk management is more important,” the report said.

The research also warned against investors hoarding cash or “safe haven” government bonds as prices rose and yields dropped.

“Even a cursory glance at core debt yields shows that what is going on at the heart of many institutions’ portfolios is saving, not investing,” Cerulli’s report stated. “This endangers long-term returns, while negative rates/yields even endanger the returns of short-term deposits.”

The yield on Germany’s two-year government bonds has fallen into negative territory over the past 12 months to -0.22%, while five-year German bonds yield only 0.05%, according to Bloomberg data. Laura D’Ippolito, senior analyst at Cerulli, said investors should look—and many are looking—to diversify into alternative areas of fixed income “such as emerging market debt, bank loans, and credit”.

Related Content:The Great Inflation Conundrum & Canadian Pensions Dominate US in Infrastructure

Alcoa CIO Joins Iconoclastic 300 Club

Ron Barin has joined the institutional investor group committed to questioning the status quo.

Ron Barin Rob Barin, CIO, AlcoaRon Barin, who has run money for some of the US’ largest corporate pension funds, has been invited to join the 300 Club of global institutional investors.

He joins a group including Chris Ailman (CIO of the California State Teachers Retirment System), Bob Maynard ( CIO of the Public Employee Retirement System of Idaho), and Stefan Dunatov (CIO of the Coal Pension Trustees Investment).

The organisation debates and publishes papers on testing received investment theory—and suggests ways to improve it.

“I’ve long admired the 300 Club and believe that the need to question the conventional investment paradigm has become more urgent,” said Barin.

Never miss a story — sign up for CIO newsletters to stay up-to-date on the latest institutional investment industry news.

“We’re on an exciting journey to attempt to move beyond the best practices of the endowment model.” —Ron Barin, AlcoaBarin, now CIO at metals firm Alcoa, has invested institutional assets for pharmaceutical firm Pfizer and held roles in treasury financial risk management roles at Estee Lauder and Unilever.

“I’ve put some of my investment beliefs into practice by evolving Alcoa’s pension and foundation investment strategies to a risk factor portfolio construction approach,” he said. “This allows for enhanced portfolio diversification relative to the equity risk premium by allowing us to harvest a wide array of long term risk premia coupled with downside risk management—we’re on an exciting journey to attempt to move beyond the best practices of the endowment model.”

Last year, Barin told CIO that risk management was “in his DNA.”

“I joined Alcoa as chief investment officer in 2008,” he said. “As the financial crisis hit later that year, I used that situation as a springboard to start looking beyond the traditional investment paradigm and beyond the limits of portfolio theory.”

Upon joining the 300 Club, Barin outlined Alcoa’s approach as “challenges the prevailing assumptions of existing portfolio and economic theory—rational expectations and stable equilibrium don’t exist in the real world—which has some interesting implications for how we quantify and manage investment risk.”

Last year, CIO also met and lunched with the 300 Club to listen in to their thoughts on institutional investors’—and their suppliers—bad, and potentially changeable habits.

Related content: CIO Profile: Alcoa’s Ron Barin on Risk Factors, PRT, and his ‘Decent’ Jump Shot & The Power Lunch

«