Illinois SURS Gears Up for Unique Crisis-Prevention Allocation

Report reviews primary risks and potential gains with lofty 20% allotment.

The State Universities’ Retirement System of Illinois is allocating 20% of its portfolio to an asset class called the Crisis Risk Offset Class (CRO), a new segment dedicated to insulating the pension’s assets to major market swings.

Specifically, it’s supposed to diversify away from growth risk, one of the largest risks for institutional investors, by providing a negative conditional correlation to equities and delivering positive returns when equities decline substantially. It’s a good move for the pension, which was 43% funded last year, with $19.4 billion in assets and $25.9 billion in unfunded actuarially accrued liability.

The new allocation for the educator-funded pension was approved late last year and is expected to sit alongside respective broad growth (66%), inflation sensitive (6%), and principal protection (8%) classes. To make room for CRO in its portfolio, the system trimmed allocations to hedge strategies, emerging markets debt traditional growth, and commodities. Overall, SURS believes it’ll reduce the potential returns of the portfolio in the most favorable market conditions and insulate it from substantial negative drawdowns in the event of a recession or other market turmoil.

The portfolio is essentially expected to consummate investments in 20-30 year US Treasury bonds, to be implemented via passive strategy providers. Another segment is to be comprised of trend-following strategies—essentially buying investments spanning equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities that are increasing in value and divesting from those with sharp reductions. SURS is expected to use derivatives-based leverage to set strategy volatilities here. Additionally the portfolio is expected to invest in assets that generate alternative risk premia.

Want the latest institutional investment industry
news and insights? Sign up for CIO newsletters.

Staff at the pension believe that the portfolio has just a few major risks, one of them being its unpredictable behavior during shorter drawdowns. It’s “reasonably probable” that CRO will produce negative returns in equity markets during shorter equity drawdowns. Also, SURS staff believes that a material allocation to CRO could potentially result in the portfolio lagging behind its peers during bull markets.

SURS also found that the new policy will “smooth” projected funding scenarios, bringing expected funded ratios closer to their target, and significantly reducing anomalies in funding ratio scenario simulations.

SURS and its consultant, Pension Consulting Alliance, will develop draft policies for the allocation’s investment policy statements and begin the manager search process for different components of the portfolio, with the expectation of concluding by the end of the year. The pension has its sights set on fulfilling the new allocation by 2021.

Related Stories:

Illinois Reverses Course on Salary Cap Bill that Would Mitigate Benefits

CalSTRS and Illinois Treasury Officials Win Prestigious Fellowships

Audit Finds Illinois Police, Firefighter Pensions Lack Proper Oversight

Tags: , , ,

Global Equities Crushed Colorado PERA in 2018

Poor returns were expected, but it sets new funding legislation in motion next week.

The Colorado Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA) returned a dismal -3.5% in 2018, its latest annual report shows.

That’s not to say the poor returns were a surprise. The Colorado plan’s benchmark was -3.6%. This year’s results bring its 10-year performance average to 8.8%.

The yearly review, published Friday by the $49.2 billion plan, shows it lost most of its money from global equities after last year’s bumpy stock market ride—no thanks to President Donald Trump’s trade war with China and anxiety over the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes. The Colorado PERA suffered -9.1% in the global equities asset class.

Bonds also weren’t great, but remained essentially flat, returning -0.1% (the benchmark was 0.1%).

Never miss a story — sign up for CIO newsletters to stay up-to-date on the latest institutional investment industry news.

Private markets saved the fund from an even worse showing. Real estate was the big winner, reaping 11.1% as it sped past its 7.9% benchmark. And although private equity also did well, at 7.6%, it fell short of the fund’s benchmark, 10.2%.

Colorado PERA’s opportunity fund also did well with a 5.6% return, beating its 2.2% benchmark, followed by cash and short-term investments, which only beat its 1.9% benchmark by 10 basis points, at 2%.

The rough year also caused the plan to fall behind schedule on its 30-year full funding path, which aims for a 100% funded status by 2047. But under a new law, anytime the plan’s investment results are either ahead or behind the 30-year funding target, employer and employee contributions are adjusted down or up, as well as cost-of-living adjusts. To bring the plan in line, member and employer contributions will automatically rise by 0.5%, but the annual cost-of-living increases for beneficiaries will instead decline by 0.25%.

The automatic adjustment reforms, which the legislature passed last year, will take effect July 1. The plan is currently 59.8% funded, according to its website.

Timothy M. O’Brien, the fund’s board of trustees chairman, said legislative changes “are working as intended” to help with funding. “We understand that the reduction in benefits and increase in contributions are difficult for our members and retirees,” he said, adding that the changes are necessary for the fund’s long-term sustainability.

These reforms mean that the adjustments had to kick in the cover the spotty 2018 returns, which displeases plan members. If things went well for the Colorado pension fund, it would instead be cutting its contributions instead of raising them.

The state contribution is also programmed to increase by up to $20 million under the new law, but the PERA will not be evoking that clause.

The fund’s asset mix was 53.4% global equities, 24% fixed income, 9.6% real estate, 8.8% private equity, 3.6% opportunity fund portfolio, and 0.6% short-term investments and cash at the end of December.

The plan returned 18.1% in 2017.

Related Stories:

Colorado Public Pension Returns 18.1% in 2017

Colorado PERA to Discuss State Pension Reforms Monday

Tags: , , , ,

«