How Sovereign Wealth Funds Can Spur Infrastructure Development

Stanford’s Ashby Monk and colleagues have a plan to attract capital to developing nations.

Finding the money to build vital infrastructure in the developing world is best done by sovereign wealth funds, as private investors by themselves lack the capacity, according to a paper by three Stanford-affiliated scholars, including Ashby Monk, executive and research director at the university’s Long-Term Investing initiative.

The trick, they contend, is to construct a wealth fund with the ability to attract “private and public investors from other nations to invest in domestic industries” in emerging markets and other less-developed countries.

The report offered a blueprint on how to create a well-run sovereign wealth fund that can attract sufficient capital. It focused on the success of India’s National Investment and Infrastructure Fund, set up in 2015 by its government. To the authors, the NIIF has helped propel the subcontinent over the past decade to 7.1% of the global economy from 4.5% previously. It has done so by adopting a collaborative policy that harnesses relationships with private enterprise and asset allocators.

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While India’s government set up the fund, seeding it with $3 billion, it operates independently from New Delhi. The NIIF sets up separate funds to attract outside capital, and these have been over-subscribed, the paper indicated.

The report outlined how infrastructure investing worldwide has remained “stagnant for the eighth year running, despite almost returning to pre-pandemic levels in primary markets.” Private investors committed $172 billion to infrastructure projects in 2021, but that “falls far below what is needed to close the infrastructure investment gap,” the paper explained.

For sure, developed nations are pumping up their infrastructure investing lately, growing 8.3% in 2021 and constituting 80% of global infrastructure investment, the paper stated. Witness the $1 trillion U.S. infrastructure package that Congress passed two years ago. Yet elsewhere, the paper warned, the picture is bleak, as “investments made in middle- and low-income countries have fallen by 8.8% and now make up only 20% of total investment volumes.”

The paper argued that less-developed nations can tap large institutional investors, namely pension funds, endowments and family offices. The trouble is, it continued, “governments sponsoring long-term investment opportunities, especially in infrastructure projects, struggle to tap into institutional investor capital.” A professional sovereign wealth fund with an eye toward bringing in outside money is the answer, in the paper’s view.

As Monk and his colleagues put it, “Bringing public and private capital together therefore requires a proactive yet structured approach with aligned coordination between governments, industry leaders, and global asset owners.”

Well-organized infra-oriented sovereign wealth funds generate good returns, the report declared, citing Singapore’s Temasek’s 40-year annual return of 16% and United Arab Emirates’ Mubadala Investment Co., with a 12.2% gain since 2017. “This means strong investment performance and national development priorities are not mutually exclusive,” the authors wrote.

The paper was written by Monk, along with two other Stanford-affiliated scholars, Rajiv Sharma and Carter Casady.

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Japan’s GPIF Ends Losing Streak With 5.4% Return in Fiscal Q4

The pension giant raked in $72 billion during the quarter thanks to its public equities portfolios.




Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund’s investment portfolio returned a robust 5.41% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022. The 10.3 trillion yen ($72 billion) quarterly investment gain ended a four-quarter losing streak and raised the pension giant’s total asset value to $1.416 trillion.

The performance ends a string of four consecutive losing quarters. During the first three quarters of fiscal 2022, the GPIF posted a 3.71% loss, and its value dropped by more than $55.2 billion.

The strong showing during the final quarter helped the GPIF end fiscal 2022, which ran from April 1, 2022, to March 31, in the black, with a 1.50% annual investment return.

Public equities fueled the Q4 return, led by foreign equities, which returned 8.19%, followed by domestic equities’ 7.03% return. Foreign bonds returned 4.33% during the quarter, while domestic bonds returned 2.12%.

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Domestic equities led the portfolio for the fiscal year, returning 5.54%, followed by foreign equities, which returned 1.84%. Foreign bonds lost 0.12% during fiscal 2022, while domestic bonds ended the year down 1.74%.

The pension fund’s domestic equities portfolio was led by Toyota, Sony, Keyance, Mitsubishi, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Daiichi Sankyo, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Hitachi, Tokyo Electronics and Shin-Etsu Chemical.

The tech-heavy foreign equity portfolio was led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, Alphabet, Tesla and Meta Platforms. Rounding out the top 10 holdings were UnitedHealth Group, Exxon Mobil and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.

The asset allocation for the GPIF’s portfolio as of the end of March was 26.79% in domestic bonds, 24.49% in domestic equities, 24.39% in foreign bonds and 24.32% in foreign equities. The pension fund does not break out alternative assets, as they contain a mixture of asset classes; however, it said the asset class makes up 1.38% of its total investment portfolio. The GPIF has a 5% cap for alts.

As of the end of March, the asset value of the pension fund’s alternative investments was approximately $20.18 billion, comprised of approximately $10.31 billion in infrastructure investments, approximately $3.32 billion in private equity and approximately $6.54 billion worth of real estate.

 

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