Danish Pension ATP Reports Strong First Half

Investments returned 14.6%, giving the fund its best half-year performance in five years.

ATP Group, Denmark’s largest pension fund, reported that its investment portfolio grew DKK14.7 billion ($2.35 billion) before tax and expenses in the first half of 2017, equal to a rate of return of 14.6%, which is its best half-year performance since 2012.

The largest positive return, DKK 4.1 billion, came from the portfolio of listed Danish equities; however, private equity, listed international equities, and credit investments also buoyed the fund’s returns. The company reported that over the past five years, it has generated an average annual return of 15.8%, and that returns have been positive in 18 out of 20 quarters.

“This is the strongest six-month return in five years—something for our members to celebrate,” said ATP CEO Christian Hyldahl in a statement. “But we should not be measured on our short-term returns. We are here to create long-term value for our members, and historically we have been very good at doing just that.”

The company also said that in light of life expectancies rising faster than expected, it transferred DKK 1 billion to the guaranteed benefits to ensure its members their pension. According to ATP, 65-year-old pension plan members are currently expected to live to an average age of 86.

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The overall equity portfolio, consisting of listed Danish and international equities and private equity, generated a return of DKK 9.5 billion. Danish equities produced a return of DKK 4.1 billion, while international equities, consisting primarily of US, European, and Japanese equities, returned DKK 2.4 billion. US equities were the top performers, but European and Japanese equities also made positive contributions, said ATP in its report.

The company also said that its use of financial derivatives for investment in international equities was gradually reduced “in order to strengthen active ownership in the companies in which ATP invests.”

ATP’s portfolio of direct investments in listed international equities increased by just over DKK 15 billion. Meanwhile, the overall portfolio of private equity generated a return of DKK 3 billion. Credit, consisting primarily of high-yield bonds and loans to credit institutions and funds, returned of DKK 2.1 billion, with high-yield bonds, consisting primarily of bonds issued by companies with low credit ratings or by emerging markets, generated DKK 1.5 billion.

Despite the strong results, Hyldahl indicated that such high returns would be difficult to maintain over the long term.

“Geopolitical uncertainty has risen, while economic uncertainty has decreased. The US and European economies are showing positive momentum, but interest rates remain extremely low,” said Hyldahl. “While this is positive from a growth perspective, investors will be faced with the challenge of continuing to generate the same high returns in the quarters and years ahead.”

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TrimTabs: Corporate Stock Buybacks Continue Downward Trend in Q2

Corporate America is uncertain about the outcome of Trump’s corporate tax proposals, which analysts expected to boost stock buybacks.

Corporate stock buybacks in the second quarter earnings season were at the lowest level in more than five years, TrimTabs Investment Research reports.

Newly announced “cash takeovers” and stock buybacks amounted to only $58 billion for the second quarter. After hitting a high of $427 billion in the second quarter of 2015, corporate buying has slowed,TrimTabs said.

According to the San Francisco-based institutional research firm, announcements on stock buybacks were “at an average of 2.6 for $1.3 billion daily” in the second quarter earnings season. This was the lowest volume of announcements since April and May of 2012. And a mere four companiesWalgreens Boots Alliance, Aflac, eBay, and Fidelity National Information Servicescame out with buybacks of more than $2 billion.

David Santschi, CEO of TrimTabs, noted that buybacks have been in a two-year downtrend that doesn’t seem to be improving. “Corporate America is shutting its wallet as stock prices reach records,” said Santschi. “Corporate leaders may be losing faith in the Trump administration’s ability to deliver on its promises and worried about the impact of less central bank support for asset prices.”

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And according to a CNBC news report, although analysts expected stock buybacks to get a boost if the Trump administration’s corporate tax cuts went through, that impact hasn’t materialized yet. In fact, domestic stock buyback funds have lagged the S&P 500 since Trump’s election. This comes about amidst uncertainty relating to the outcomes for Trump’s tax reform proposals.

“The US stock market isn’t likely to get as much of a boost from companies as it did in previous years,” Santschi said.  “Apart from the too-big-to-fails, fewer companies are willing to use lots of cash to support share prices.”

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