CIC Rises, Dubai’s Istithmar Falls

All SWFs were not created equal, recent activity shows.

(October 1, 2009) – The past month has revealed that all sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) are not created—or act—equal.


The China Investment Company (CIC)—the $300 billion fund profiled in ai5000—has been making waves in both the hedge fund and commodities markets. On the other hand, the Dubai sovereign wealth fund Istithmar—the $10 billion fund lambasted in the inaugural edition of the magazine—has all but locked its doors shut.

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In this past week alone, the CIC has bought a 15% stake—at a price tag of $850 million—in the Hong Kong-based Noble Group (which owns a spectrum of resource plays, from mines to farms to ports) as well as a stake in Kazakhstan’s state-run energy company Astana worth nearly $950 million.


The CIC also has made large allocations to hedge funds in recent weeks, including a $1 billion allocation to Los Angeles-based Oaktree Capital Management, a $60 billion fund that specializes in distressed debt and other fixed-income investments.


However, not all SWF are increasing allocations. Istithmar—and, as a corollary, Dubai—has vastly reduced its activity as of late. According to Bloomberg, the fund likely will sell individual assets or get rid of the fund entirely. Earlier this month, the fund announced that its co-chief investment officers would be leaving; the fund’s manager, American David Jackson, is said to be under close scrutiny.


This comes on the heels of a report that suggests that Gulf SWF lost a total of $350 billion since September of 2008. The United Nations’ World Investment Report is stating that that Abu Dhabi Investment Authority was the biggest loser in terms of absolute capital, losing $183 billion on a 2007 base of $453 billion.


This dichotomy is likely a result of previous investment styles. Middle Eastern funds—and Istithmar in particular—were some of the most prominent players in the bubble years, making well-documented and ill-timed moves into American banks before and during the collapse of Lehman Brothers and its aftermath. Large losses followed. The CIC, on the other hand, admitted to losing only 2.1% of its asset value in 2008, allowing it now to increase its risk exposure and scoop up assets at depressed prices.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Kristopher McDaniel at <a href='mailto:kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com'>kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com</a>

With Interest Rates Low, Brazil Pensions Get Okay To Diversify

 

Brazilian pension funds will now be able to move out of their traditional government and corporate debt holdings and into other, more esoteric, investments. 

 

(October 1, 2009) – Brazilian institutional investors are set to unload up to $40 billion in government-backed bonds and move into equities and alternatives following changes in pension fund investment regulations.


The result of falling interest rates in the South American country, regulatory changes likely will cause a move toward hedge funds, corporate bonds, stocks, and private equities, according to SulAmerica Investimentos. The regulations apply to both city and state pension funds.

 

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The country’s National Monetary Council—which creates monetary policy for the National Bank—has made it clear that funds can move out of fixed-income altogether, and has moved the equities limit upward from 50% of holdings to 70%. Such investments, however, would be limited to shares traded on the Novo Mercado, a segment of listed companies that agree to abide by certain corporate governance and transparency practices. Further changes would include allowing investments in international equities (with limits being 10% of total holdings) and direct real estate holdings (an 8% limit). Restrictions on structured-finance funds would be eased, allowing up to 20% of assets to be placed in such funds.

 


This change in regulation for the Brazilian pension system marks a stark alteration from its relatively conservative history. In past years, Brazilian pension funds have held upward of 50% of their assets in government debt, and another 20% in corporate bonds.

 


Reaction from Brazilian pension funds has been hesitantly positive. “We’re excited, but it’s an enormous challenge because we have return requirements that are set,” Sylvio Murad of Eletros—the giant utility pension fund—told Bloomberg. “Interest rates are on their way down, whether they inch up in the short term or not.” This also likely will be good news for current holders of Brazilian equities, who will see excess capital flood the market as the pension fund industry sheds its bond holdings in favor of public equity markets.  



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Kristopher McDaniel at <a href='mailto:kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com'>kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com</a>

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