CDPQ Loses 2.3% in First Half of 2020, Misses Benchmark

However, the C$333 billion pension beat its benchmark over the past five and 10 years.


The C$333 billion ($249.4 billion) La Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ), which manages funds for Canadian public pension and insurance plans, reported a 2.3% loss in the first half of 2020. The fund underperformed its benchmark, which returned 0.8% during the same time period, due to overexposure to shopping center investments and underexposure to tech stocks.

“The exceptional monetary policies of central banks, coupled with historic support plans deployed by governments, have made it possible to prevent the recession from turning into a depression,” Charles Emond, CEO of CDPQ, said in a statement.  “But there is a growing dichotomy between the real economy and the financial markets.”

Over the past five years, CDPQ earned a 6.3% annualized return, edging out its benchmark’s return of 6.2% over the same time span. And over the past 10 years, CDPQ’s annualized return is 8.7%, compared with its benchmark’s 10-year annualized return of 8.4%.

The pension’s equity investments posted annualized five-year returns of 7.9%, surpassing its benchmark index’s five-year return of 6.9%, while its fixed income investments earned an annualized return of 4.5% over five years, ahead of the 3.8% its benchmark index returned during the same time period.  And during the first six months of the year, equities lost 5%, while fixed income generated a 4.1% return in a falling-rate environment.

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CDPQ’s real asset investments, which are comprised of its real estate and infrastructure portfolios, had an annualized five-year return of 5.4%, well off its benchmark’s five-year annualized return of 7.4%. And during the first half of the year, the asset class lost 7.3%, while the benchmark lost only 1.5%. The pension attributed the underperformance to its poorly performing investments in shopping centers and office buildings.

The real estate portfolio earned an annualized five-year return of 3.5% but tumbled 11.7% during the first half of the year. CDPQ said its property management subsidiary Ivanhoé Cambridge will transform its portfolio of shopping centers, which it said will require specific solutions for each of the assets, as well as its repositioning in market segments.

And CDPQ’s infrastructure portfolio posted a five-year annualized return of 8.2%, while losing 1% during the first half of the year. The pension said that the portfolio is showing resilience despite its exposure to the transport sector, where some facilities, including airports, grinded to a halt during the crisis.

“The quality of assets in sectors such as renewable energies and telecommunications, as well as the continuous support of portfolio companies since the start of the crisis, has enabled the portfolio to significantly limit the impacts of COVID‑19,” said CDPQ.

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Seth Klarman’s Diagnosis for the Market Rally: Virus-Prompted Impatience

Investors, cooped up and eager for normality’s return, are mistakenly bidding up share prices, he contends—and it won’t end well.

The usual suspects for the stock market’s cognitive dissonance—a strong new bull market amid rampant virus spreading through the US and a scary economic downturn—are the government and Federal Reserve rescue efforts. Plus, some hope thrown in for an anti-COVID-19 vaccine.

But hedge fund chieftain Seth Klarman, who harbors big doubts about the rally’s staying power, points to another culprit: deluded investors. His assessment, though, is a nuanced reading of mass psychology amid virus anxieties and isolation. Impatience for a return to a regular, epidemic-free life has made them eager for quick riches through stocks, he believes.

Sure, head shaking over retail investors’ credulous conduct is nothing new. An 1841 book, “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds,” condemned popular manias that drove fads like the South Sea bubble and Dutch tulips. These investor stampedes led to big losses once the empty promises of sure things disappeared. In recent decades, a new discipline called behaviorism sprang up to explain why most investors do badly, such as by selling all stocks in a down market.

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Billionaire investment manager Klarman, who runs the $30 billion hedge fund Baupost, and others have noted how reported corporate earnings and revenue are way down for the second quarter. Yet the S&P 500 has rocketed since its March low, up 49%.

Klarman, a value-oriented investor, stated that investors seem to think that the “opening up” of businesses after lockdowns is an all-clear sign to buy stocks, regardless of their price.

The extraordinary events of the past six months have propelled their appetite, he wrote in a client letter, obtained by trading site Benzinga. “People generally crave a return to normalcy and are intent on getting back to their lives as before, brazenly ignoring the risks of prematurely doing so,” he said.

“There is little evidence of thought as to whether the price of a security already reflects current and projected future news flow,” he went on, “or whether the opening up of the economy might be premature, a sign not of strength, but of impatience, lack of resolve, and poor judgment.”

A devotee of value guru Benjamin Graham, Klarman has long preached that investors should be patient. Appearing in 2008 at Harvard Business School (where he is an alumnus), he said, “It turns out that value investing is something that is in your blood. There are people who just don’t have the patience and discipline to do it, and there are people who do. So, it leads me to think it’s genetic.”

He has a good track record to back that up: Baupost has posted in 31 of his fund’s 38 years. During the financial crisis a dozen years ago, he knocked other investors for thinking “this time it’s different” in investing as they expected unlimited tomorrows.

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