Canadian Pensions, Pooled Funds End 2020 on High Note

Robust equities spurred a market rebound that provided a strong fourth quarter for retirement plans.


Strong equity markets helped boost Canadian pension plans and diversified pooled funds during the fourth quarter of 2020, as they returned 5% and 5.7%, respectively, for the period, and 10% and 9.3%, respectively, for the year.

“The global pandemic undoubtedly was the focal point over the last year, but 2020 also symbolized a period of leadership, adaptation, and resiliency,” Katie Pries, president and CEO of Northern Trust Canada, which tracks the performance of Canadian institutional investment plans, said in a release. “Canadian pension plan sponsors faced the difficult task of navigating through an extraordinary and unpredictable period in history, while safeguarding plan assets for future retirement. This test of resiliency was met with solid performance.”

Canadian equities, based on the S&P/TSX Composite Index, surged 9% for the quarter and 5.6% for the year, with the health care and consumer discretionary sectors leading the way for the quarter and the information technology (IT) sector coming out as the top performer for the year.

US equities also earned robust gains as the S&P 500 Index rose 7% for the quarter and 16.3% for the year in Canadian dollars, with all sectors closing out the quarter in positive territory, led by the IT sector. Additionally, the Nasdaq registered its best year in US dollars since 2009, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones ended last year at record highs.

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International developed markets, as tracked by the MSCI EAFE Index, generated 10.7% in returns for the quarter, and 6.4% for the year in Canadian dollars as all sectors ended the quarter in positive territory except for the health care sector, which saw a modest decline. The energy sector was the top performer for the quarter, while the IT sector was the top performing sector for the year.

And emerging markets, based on the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, climbed 14.2% during the quarter and 16.6% for the year in Canadian dollars. All sectors produced positive gains for the quarter, with annual returns led by the health care and IT sectors.

Northern Trust also noted that the Bank of Canada maintained the current pace of its quantitative easing program and left its overnight interest rate unchanged at 0.25% as the FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index returned 0.6% for the quarter and 8.7% for the year.

Meanwhile, Morneau Shepell reported that Canadian diversified pooled fund managers’ median return of 5.7% before management fees for the quarter was 0.3% higher than that of the benchmark portfolio, which has an allocation of 55% equities and 45% fixed income. The firm also said the 9.3% annual return for the fund managers was 1.3% below the benchmark portfolio’s return for the year.

During the fourth quarter of 2020, the pooled fund managers saw a median return of 1% on bonds, which was 0.4% higher than the benchmark index. Short-term, mid-term, and long-term bond indices had returns of 0.5%, 0.6%, and 0.8%, respectively, during the fourth quarter. The high-yield bond index posted a return of 4.1%, while the real return bond index returned 1.8%.

For the year, short-term, mid-term, and long-term bond indices posted returns of 5.3%, 10.1%, and 11.9%, respectively. The high-yield bond index posted a return of 6.7%, while the real return bond index rose 13% in 2020.

“The good returns obtained in the fourth quarter enabled pension funds to improve their financial position,” Jean Bergeron, partner for the Morneau Shepell Asset & Risk Management consulting team, said in a statement. “We estimate that the solvency ratio of an average pension fund has increased by around 2.3% to 5.5% in 2020.”

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How GameStop’s Robinhood Boosters Are Clobbering Hedge Funds

A ‘flash mob with money,’ their enthusiasm for the ailing retailer’s stock has lost short sellers a reported $23.6 billion.


GameStop has stopped hedge funds, big-time. Its climbing stock has spoiled their short sales on the money-losing video game retailer, as well as on other limping outfits such as AMC Entertainment (the beleaguered movie theater chain), and BlackBerry (onetime maker of the early smartphone, now a software developer).

A good number of hedge funds have been betting borrowed stock that the companies’ shares would droop, with GameStop their favorite prey. Trouble is, the social media-connected day traders have gleefully declared war on the short-selling hedge operators.

And these neophyte momentum players have driven the short-sellers’ chief quarry to sub-orbital levels: up 18-fold this month, just short of $348 per share. Peter Atwater, an economics lecturer at the College of William & Mary, calls the GameStop short-squeezing people a “flash mob with money.”

Investors who sold GameStop short have lost $23.6 billion so far in 2021 through Wednesday, by the count of financial analytics firm S3 Partners. That includes $14.3 billion yesterday, as the retailer’s stock price shot up 135%.

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In response to the controversy, Robinhood and Interactive Brokers Group curbed trading on GameStop, AMC, and several others Thursday morning. GameStop shares began to reverse direction. How long the restrictions would last was unclear. Frustrated amateur traders, of course, might just take their business to platforms that don’t limit them.

The pain is intense for these hedge funds. Citron Capital’s Andrew Left, often disparaged on Reddit, just said his firm folded a GameStop short bet, after losing 100% of its money spent on the transaction. Melvin Capital Management has slumped about 30% as the result of GameStop short sales, according to published reports. New York Mets owner Steve Cohen’s Point72 fund and Ken Griffin’s Citadel have stakes in Melvin.

Earlier this month, posts started to appear on Reddit and other places about the large amount of GameStop shares held short. The posts called on fellow tyro traders to buy the firm’s shares and options, with the goal of lifting the stock price and slamming the short sellers. 

One Reddit user, cheering on the GameStop surge and its ill effect on hedge funds, described the play as “Bankrupting Institutional Investors for Dummies.” On Wednesday night, the moderators briefly set the Reddit GameStop-oriented forum to private, so no new users could join.

“Rough crowd on Twitter tonight,” Cohen tweeted about the pummeling he and his fellow hedge operators are taking. “Hey stock jockeys keep bringing it.”

Also on Twitter, Anthony Scaramucci, founder of hedge firm SkyBridge Capital, and briefly an aide in former President Donald Trump’s White House, declared: “We are witnessing the French Revolution of finance.”

Retail stock trading has long been a backwater of the market. Last year, however, Robinhood’s popularity grew, with its free trades using an app. Now, this newcomer trading is a trend, especially among young adults. And conventional stock trading is feeling it.

Certainly, the attractiveness of GameStop as a short sale is obvious. The chain is no one’s idea of a story stock—whose compelling business plan, executives, and prospect thrill professional stock pickers. That ain’t GameStop.

Over the past three years, the company has lost close to $2 billion. Why? Young gamers now prefer to order the goods online instead of trekking to a mall. GameStop’s revenue is falling and its stores are closing. Management last month told investors it would shutter 1,000 outlets by the end of March.

What are GameStop shares really worth, anyway? Bank of America raised its price target on the stock to just $10 per share on Wednesday, saying in a note to clients that the higher price could aid GameStop’s turnaround plans, but remained a risk for investors. Note that BofA’s price target is far below what GameStop is fetching now.

It’s hard to assess the GameStop short effect’s overall impact on hedge funds. Indeed, only some of the funds are shorting these momentum stocks. Lately, things have been looking up for hedge funds, which have suffered in recent years as they lagged the stock market. Last year, they finally beat the S&P 500, 16.6% to 15.7%, Preqin researchers found. Investor redemptions slowed markedly.

The S&P 500 dropped 2.6% on Wednesday. Although the GameStop short phenomenon probably contributed to that, the obviously larger influence was Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. On Wednesday, he gave a dour assessment of the pace of economic recovery, due to a softness in growth owing to the resurgence of COVID-19 cases.

Robinhood, ETrade, and Fidelity were among those that reportedly had technical glitches from the huge volume as the heavily shorted names like GameStop skyrocketed. Since the beginning of this month, the CBOE Volatility Index has jumped to 37 from 22.

The GameStop torpedoing of hedge funds is so profound that it has drawn interest in Washington. The White House press secretary said on Wednesday that the administration’s economics team, including Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, is keeping an eye on the resulting turbulence.

In addition, the acting head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Allison Herren Lee, said the SEC was “actively monitoring the ongoing market volatility in the options and equities markets” and was working with other regulators “to assess the situation and review the activities” of those involved.

The manic run-ups of GameStop and its ilk signal to many on Wall Street that the market’s long bull run may be ending. “I think this is a sign that we are getting to a top and we are going to get a pullback,” Morgan Stanley strategist Andrew Slimmon told Yahoo Finance. “That’s just one of the signs.”

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