CalPERS’ New Asset Allocation Kicks In July 1

The $442 billion pension fund is shifting money out of public equity and into private equity and other alts.



The California Public Employees’ Retirement System’s new asset allocation, which increases its alternative investments while reducing its public equity holdings, takes effect July 1.

“Over the past decade we’ve made strides to improve our funded status and reduce investment risk,” CalPERS said in a tweet. “We’ve increased liquidity, taken more defensive positions in the public markets and added a prudent amount of leverage to increase diversification.”

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After nearly a year of reviewing the pension system’s investment portfolio and actuarial liabilities, the CalPERS board decided in November to adjust the asset allocation of its $442 billion portfolio by increasing its private equity weighting and decreasing its public equity holdings. The board also approved adding 5% leverage to increase diversification.

The new asset allocation target is 42% in global equity, 30% in fixed income, 15% in real assets, 13% in private equity and 5% in private debt. CalPERS said the allocation adds up to 105% due to the 5% allocation to leverage. The current target asset allocation is 50% global equity, 28% fixed income, 13% real assets, 8% private equity, 1% liquidity and 0% in private debt. According to CalPERS’ most recent monthly update, the portfolio’s actual asset allocation as of May 31 was 45.5% in public equity, 27.1% in fixed income, 14.6% in real assets and 11.7% in private equity.

Although the change goes into effect today, “it will not be like flipping a switch,” a CalPERS spokesperson says. For example, if the investment team doesn’t immediately see any strong private equity investments, the staff will have to wait before they increase their investments to private equity.

“It’s a balance of aligning as close as possible to the new allocation, while also considering the current market and making the best decision to achieve the strongest returns/balancing risk for the fund,” says the spokesperson.

The review process that went into the decision to adjust the allocation, which takes place every four years, included a review of demographic assumptions, including life expectancy, retirement and disability rates and potential changes in job growth and salaries, according to CalPERS. A press release from the fund says the board examined different investment portfolios and their potential impact to the CalPERS fund, and that each portfolio presented a different mix of assets and corresponding rate of expected return and risk volatility. The release also says that CalPERS’ most recent findings show that life expectancies of healthy members at age 55 increased slightly from the last study in 2017, as men are expected to live approximately eight months longer and women five months longer since the previous study.

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Big Whoop: Tiny Money Market Rates Finally Hit 1%

Unimpressed, as inflation sits at 8.6%, investors so far aren’t pouring into the money funds.



Well, this counts as some sort of progress. Money market rates finally have topped 1%, after years dawdling near zero, according to the latest from Crane Data. Tellingly, money market funds still haven’t attracted new investments.

 

In fact, inflows into money funds actually shrank as of May, off 0.2% from the previous month, by the count of the Investment Company Institute.

 

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Why should this be? One explanation: There’s a delay factor among investors, who haven’t gotten used to the change in rate structure—or at least are waiting for some better yields up ahead. Better inflows will arrive, in the estimation of Peter Crane, chief executive of the data firm.

 

“It’s still early,” he told the financial website Ignites. “Just now the yields are becoming attractive. … If you don’t like the yields, wait a few days because they keep going higher.”

 

Needless to say, a 1% yield is swallowed whole by rampant inflation. The Consumer Price Index for May ballooned to a painful 8.6% annually.

 

Americans have become resigned to tiny yields from money funds, which take their cue from central bank action. To combat the 2008-09 financial crisis, the Federal Reserve plunged its benchmark short-term rate to almost zero. And although it lifted that briefly to as high as 2.5% in 2018, political forces and then the pandemic forced it back down again to hover just above zero.

 

Back in 2007, before the crisis, money funds paid around 5%, according to CEIC Data. A lag often exists between what money funds pay and the Fed’s new benchmark federal funds rate. The central bank just raised that rate, by 0.75 percentage point, to a range between 1.5% and 1.75%.

 

The Fed has signaled that it may do another 0.75 point hike at its policymaking committee’s next meeting, on July 26 and 27. At year-end, the futures market expects the rate to be as high as 3.5%. Maybe at that point, money fund investors will finally be getting some decent payments.

 

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