CalPERS, CalSTRS Post Double-Digit Investment Returns

Both the $226.6 billion California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) and the $146.4 billion California State Teachers' Retirement System (CalSTRS) have achieved returns of more than 12% in 2010.

(January 21, 2011) — While still below the high-water marks set before the financial crisis, the nation’s two largest public pension systems have reported positive returns in 2010, with both funds achieving a return of more than 12%.

The 12.46% return on investments by CalPERS was just below its policy benchmark of 13.2%, buoyed by gains in alternative investments. In contrast to its 6% drop in return in 2009, private equity was the system’s best-performing asset class for the year with a 21.5% internal rate of return. Following private equity, global equity at 14.6% and global fixed income, 11.6%, achieved the best performance. Despite the good news for CalPERS, real estate, its worst performer, continued to slip another 5% after its 47% drop in 2009.

“During 2010, we reduced portfolio leverage and ended relationships with several real estate partners who didn’t meet our expectations,” said Joseph Dear, chief investment officer of the pension fund, in a statement. “The strong returns we saw in 2010 prove that our top-to-bottom evaluation of all our investments is paying off for our beneficiaries and our employers.”

As of January 18, CalPERS’ total investment portfolio was valued at $228.5 billion — 12% below its historic high of $260 billion in October 2007 yet significantly better than its low of $160 billion during the recession in March 2009.

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At the same time, the 12.7% return by CalSTRS has pushed the fund back to its October 2008 level at $146.4 billion. Its top-performing asset class was US equity at 17.2%, followed by private equity at 16.9%; non-U.S. equity, 12.8%; fixed income, 8%; and real estate at 0.01%. The pension fund’s governing board has been involved in a process of discussing the implementation of a radical new asset allocation that will divvy up the scheme’s assets based on their characteristics – like sensitivity to inflation, stable return, or growth – rather than equity or debt.

“This means that while the positive investment returns are a good short-term indicator for CalSTRS, we still confront a long-term funding shortfall that can only be resolved by working with our stakeholders for a solution that the Legislature and Governor must develop and that CalSTRS can implement,” CalSTRS spokesperson Ricardo Duran told aiCIO

Meanwhile, in a reflection of the broader attempt of public funds to become more transparent following the financial crisis, CalPERS has been spearheading the push for heightened transparency, after worries about lack of disclosure in the pension fund community exploded in 2009 when a pension-fund scandal in New York exposed the role of placement agents in bribery and corruption charges. “Gathering information is not enough,” said Anne Stausboll, CalPERS chief executive officer, to the LA Times early last year. “We remain firmly committed to pursuing a full and fair examination that the special review will provide, and to backing legislation that would remove contingent fee arrangements and require placement agents to comply with the same rules as lobbyists.”



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

Survey: Canadian DB Pensions to Suffer Continued Funding Shortfall

With a low interest rate environment expected to continue, a survey by Towers Watson expects there will be further delay before many Canadian defined benefit (DB) pension plans become fully funded.

(January 20, 2011) — Research by Towers Watson has shown that Canada’s top portfolio managers are expecting interest rates to stay below the historical trend, suggesting there will be a further delay before many Canadian defined benefit (DB) pension plans become fully funded.

According to the study, respondents forecasted modest growth, low inflation and low interest rates to continue in the short term, with Canadian real GDP growth at between 2% and 2.5% this year and inflation remaining below 2%.

The poll showed the majority of fund managers interviewed expect emerging markets, such as China and India, to bring in strong results, with emerging markets expected to be a key driver of economic activity. “There is a general consensus that economic growth in the emerging markets will outperform that of the advanced economies,” Janet Rabovsky, a senior consultant in Towers Watson’s Investment practice, said in a statement. “As a result, the vast majority of the money managers we surveyed expect emerging market equities to be one of their strongest-performing asset categories, especially over the long term.”

Additionally, the survey showed smaller plans are shying away from equities into fixed income, while plans with more than $1 billion dollars in assets are shifting away from both traditional equities and fixed income into alternatives such as infrastructure, hedge funds and real estate.

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The results of Towers Watson’s 30th Annual Canadian Survey of Economic Expectations were compiled to provide a consensus opinion on Canada’s economic prospects over the short (2011), medium (2012-2015) and long terms (2016-2025).

The Towers Watson poll contrasts with earlier study by consultant firm Mercer. In Mercer’s latest Fearless Forecast survey, investment managers predicted that Canadian pensions will experience reduced shortfalls, with funds seeing their funded status actually improving and moving closer to the levels they hit before the market downturn in 2008.

With pension funds’ costs measured using long bond yields, Mercer’s study predicted a 0.35% increase in long bond yields in 2011, which would result in a 5% decrease in the liability facing funds to provide benefits to members. Furthermore, the study estimated that Canadian equity markets will climb by 8.5% while US markets will grow by 9% and foreign markets will return approximately 7.5% in 2011. Similar to Towers Watson’s findings, Mercer concluded that emerging market equity returns are expected to exceed each developed market in 2011, with a median expected return of 10%.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

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