Banker: SWFs To Go Heavy on Commodities, Emerging Markets

After 2008, when they were burned by financials, SWFs are likely to stick with a recent trend toward natural resources.

(November 5, 2009) – A senior Barclays banker is predicting that sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) will focus on commodities and emerging markets in 2010.


Gay Huey Evans, Vice Chairman for Investment Banking at Barclays, told Reuters that, following a year when the majority of the $94 billion invested by SWFs was put into commodities, he expects 2010 investments to flow to both natural resources and emerging markets. According to the banker, 61% of investments in 2009 have been put in natural resources and just 15% in financials. This is in stark opposition to 2008, when the figures were 8% and 48%, respectively.

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He also noted that such investors will be more cautious going forward.


“People are going back into the market, but they are going back quietly, gently, thoughtfully, not with a bang,” Evans told Reuters. “Political pressure was certainly as strong as the real market performance in causing sovereign funds to reshape and rethink their overall investment strategy.”


One likely drawback of these actions is suspicion from the West that Asian funds are attempting to corner resource markets for their growing population. China, however, has openly stated that this is not the goal, instead citing financial return motives.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Kristopher McDaniel at <a href='mailto:kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com'>kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com</a>

Congress Mulls Allowing Pensions to Remain Unfunded Longer

 

The proposed plan would allow underfunded pension plans nine years, not seven, to make up the funding shortfall.

 

(November 5, 2009) – A bill has been introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives that would extend the time that underfunded pension systems have to top up their retirement plans.

 


The bill, introduced by Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D-North Dakota) and Rep. Pat Tiberi (R-Ohio), would give struggling companies more time to contribute to employee pension plans. Currently, employers have seven years to make up funding shortfalls; if the new bill eventually passes, this would increase to nine years, with the government requiring only minimal payments from plan sponsors in the first two years. If an employer agreed not to freeze its defined benefit plan, the company would have 15 years to fund.

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The seven-year plan was passed in Congress just three years ago, in 2006.

 


This would have the likely effect of freeing up cash for new investments and hires; it could, however, also increase the burden on the public purse if many companies entered bankruptcy with lower funding levels in their pension plans, overwhelming the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation.

 


At least one Senator—Michael Enzi of Wyoming—has expressed initial support for such a move. “If we could have foreseen in 2006 the steep stock market decline coming around the bend, then there is little doubt that we would have incorporated greater flexibility in the funding rules,” he said late last week in response to hearings on the subject in Washington, according to The New York Times.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Kristopher McDaniel at <a href='mailto:kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com'>kmcdaniel@assetinternational.com</a>

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