AI Poses Unique Risks to Investors, SEC Chair Says

Conflicts can be easily concealed by complicated and evolving predictive technologies, Gary Gensler argued.



Artificial intelligence poses unique systemic and compliance risks, the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission said during a speech at Yale Law School on Tuesday.

Gary Gensler, according to his prepared remarks for the event, advocated for an SEC proposal from July 2023 that would require advisers to eliminate or neutralize conflicts of interest, as opposed to the current standard of mitigating and disclosing them, as they relate to the use of predictive analytics technology.

The broad application of the proposal was the basis of opposition from Citadel LLC, Managed Funds Association and the Investment Company Institute. Citadel also argued that the proposal would apply to private funds, which it deemed inappropriate because the concerns the SEC notes are primarily for retail investors.

Gensler explained Tuesday that artificial intelligence can increase the opportunities for fraud and help fraudsters “exploit the public.” AI is subject to current regulations governing advisers, such as the requirement that advice must be tailored to the needs of a client. But the predictive technology must be constantly tested and monitored, and computer learning systems (including the large language models used to train AI systems) would need special “guardrails” to keep them in compliance, since they can adapt over time.

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“AI models’ decisions and outcomes are often unexplainable,” Gensler lamented. “AI also may make biased decisions, because the outcomes of its algorithms may be based on data reflecting historical biases.” Additionally, he continued, AI can lead to monolithic and correlative responses to market stimuli if advisers are all relying on similar models, and “that can lead to systemic risk.”

Though Gensler only hinted at it during the speech, he has said explicitly at other venues that AI is uniquely unfit for a disclosure-based regime, and therefore conflicts arising from its use must be eliminated. This is because the datasets used to train predictive models can be enormous and difficult to summarize and the model itself can evolve over time. As a result, advisers may struggle to disclose the nature and scope of conflicts arising from its use in a manner that is useful to investors.

The investment industry has been near universal in its disdain for the proposal. The primary objections include the concern that a full elimination of conflicts is not possible and that the definition of “covered technology” in the SEC’s proposal is broad to the point of caricature and could include items such as chatbots and ordinary calculator tools.

The point about broadness seemed to be well taken by the SEC: William Birdthistle, director of the SEC’s division of investment management, and one of the leading proponents for the proposal, testified to Congress in September that the SEC was familiar with public comments on this issue and was looking closely at the definition of conflicts to ensure that only technologies that are truly predictive in character would be included.

However, Gensler’s remarks suggest the SEC might be less sympathetic. He noted that push notifications generated by predictive models can introduce a conflict, and even something as subtle as using the favorite color of the client in the notification could be the basis of a conflict: “Are firms communicating with me in a color other than green because it’ll be good for my investment decisions, or because it might benefit the firm’s revenues, profits or other interests?”

Dan Gallagher, the chief legal, compliance and corporate affairs officer at Robinhood Markets Inc., speaking at a Security Traders Association conference in October 2023, identified the issue of how push notifications are affected by the proposal. He noted that notifications describing price movements to clients could be subject to the rule if the SEC determined such notifications were a “call to action” or inducement to trade.

Based on Gensler’s comments on app notifications, he might agree.

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Family Offices Plan to Increase Alts Allocations

CIOs plan to add exposure to private equity, credit and infrastructure and funding by selling cash and equities, according to KKR’s 2023 family capital survey.



Family office CIOs plan to increase their exposure to alternative investments in 2024, according to KKR & Co. Inc.’s Henry McVey, its CIO and head of global macro and asset allocation.

McVey’s comments came in the firm’s annual family capital survey report, “Loud and Clear.” The firm surveyed and interviewed more than 75 family office CIOs in December 2023.

Family offices already hold a significant allocation to alternatives compared with other institutional investors. In 2022, family offices held 42% of their assets in alts, compared with 29% for foundations, 28% for high-net-worth individuals and 23% for pensions. As of 2023’s survey, of their assets in alternatives.

Of those surveyed, 40% were based in the U.S., 37% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, 12% in Latin America and 11% in Asia. The average AUM of those surveyed was slightly more than $3 billion.

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Cash and Equities Are Out

To further increase their exposure to alternatives, family office investors expect to trim their cash and equity holdings and use the proceeds for alts, KKR reported.

According to the survey, nearly 45% of family offices plan to reduce their allocations to cash, and more than 30% plan to reduce their public equities. In comparison, 45% of these family offices plan to increase their allocations to private credit, while roughly 30% want to increase their allocation to infrastructure.

McVey noted that family offices want to increase exposure to alternatives to take advantage of the illiquidity premium across a variety of alternatives. In contrast, other allocators have pulled back from alternatives so they can stay more liquid. Family offices are most interested in compounding capital, and 93% of respondents said growing assets for future generations is a focus for their portfolio.

Cash has become less attractive to family offices because of the expectation that interest will go lower, so those investors reported that they will look for opportunities elsewhere. The report also noted that many family offices are looking to offload large-cap U.S. equities.

The report noted that surveyed funds had, on average, 9% of their portfolios in cash. “Cash positions are still quite high at nine percent, and as such, we continue to think that many investors are still under-risked for today’s markets,” McVey wrote.

Infrastructure as an asset class has also been growing in popularity among family offices, the report noted.

“We think more CIOs around the world, including family office CIOs, are appreciating the merits that infrastructure can bring to a portfolio, including inflation protection and yield,” wrote McVey.

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