Aging Population Pushes Japan Oversees for Infrastructure

Japan's private pensions, which oversee more than JPY60 trillion, are in search of a reliable stream of returns to meet the retirement needs of the world’s fastest-aging population.

(September 2, 2010) — Japanese pension funds are beginning to increasingly invest in toll roads, ports, and pipelines in hopes of higher returns, as global equities struggle to recover from the financial crisis.

Drugmaker Astellas Pharma’s pension fund plans to invest in infrastructure funds of developing and emerging nations, Bloomberg reported. Meanwhile, Shiseido’s $1.8 billion pension began investing JPY1.5bn ($18 million) in US and European assets this fiscal year while Nomura Securities, Japan’s biggest securities firm, in June created a fund for projects in emerging markets.

In a nation where the average life span reached a record last year, pensions are turning their attention oversees to invest in roads, ports and power plants, as most projects in Japan are run by the government and aren’t open to investments, Bloomberg reported. Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund, the world’s largest which oversees 122 trillion yen ($1.3 trillion), is considering infrastructure investments for diversification. The fund is expected to commission a study on potential assets as early as this month, the fund revealed in August.

An attraction to infrastructure investment has been seen globally to meet the retirement needs of the world’s aging population. A study by Towers Watson, published in early July, showed allocations to alternative assets — specifically to commodities and infrastructure — have continued to rise and now account for about 17% of all pension fund assets globally, up from 6% ten years ago. The survey showed Macquarie Group is the largest infrastructure manager of pension fund assets, topping the ranking, with $51.6 billion ($44.4 billion in 2008). Netherlands-based ING Real Estate Investment Management, JP Morgan Asset Management, and AEW Capital Management, LP, and Morgan Stanley followed.

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Research by Russell Investments’ on alternative investing supports these findings, showing that institutional investors worldwide view alternative investments as an effective way to diversity their portfolios, with plans to boost their exposure to these investments in the years ahead. The Russell survey of 119 organizations throughout North America, Europe, Japan and Australia showed that over the next two to three years,pension funds, endowments, foundations and insurance providers expect to increase their allocation to alternative investments by more than a third, to 19% of their total investment portfolios. While real estate, private equity and hedge funds remain the preferred alternative types, the study showed commodities and infrastructure are also expected to make meaningful gains.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

Study: Global Retirement Market to Grow 66% by 2020

Despite the financial crisis, the global retirement market is expected to grow over the next decade, with total pension assets increasing from €22 trillion to €36 trillion.

(September 2, 2010) — By 2020, retirement assets worldwide are expected to grow 64% to €36 trillion ($45.6 trillion), according to research by Allianz.

“The emerging markets of Asia will develop most dynamically,” Renate Finke, senior pension analyst at Allianz, said in a news release. “By 2020, these markets are expected to grow by 16.8% a year, reaching a total volume of €2.2 trillion, or the size of United Kingdom’s current (retirement) market.”

US retirement assets, which were valued at €11.1 trillion at the end of last year, are expected to balloon to €16.3 trillion by 2020, according to the Allianz Demographic Pulse study, representing a compound annual growth rate of 3.6%.

According to the firm’s research, the world’s total retirement assets stood at about €22 trillion last year. In 2009, the United States was the leading retirement market in the world, followed at 11.5% by the United Kingdom. Western Europe’s combined retirement assets came to slightly more than 20% while Australia and Japan each claimed 3% of the global market.

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Investment losses in 2008, maturing pension systems, and longevity and reforms of pay-as-you-go public pension systems will propel the need for retirement savings in the future, Allianz showed. Finke said: “We expect the escalation in retirement savings to be the driving force for the development of the monetary wealth in many countries in Europe, Asia-Pacific and the United States.”



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

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