In just two days of market turmoil triggered by new U.S. tariff policies, Canadian defined benefit pension plans’ funded levels plunged to 100% from 105.7%, as their C$18.4 billion ($12.9 billion) surplus all but vanished, according to Aon’s Pension Risk Tracker.
The sharp drop brought the plans’ funded ratio to its lowest level since June 2023.
Data from professional services firm Aon show that the plans’ funded levels had been slowly declining during the first part of the year, losing about 2.1 percentage points between the end of 2024 and the end of the first quarter of 2025. During that time, the funded ratio dropped to 105.4% from 107.5%, but the decline rapidly accelerated at the start of the second quarter.
The two-day nosedive began on April 2, when U.S. President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariff hikes against scores of countries. Since then, the funded level has hovered near 100%, with the surplus falling as low as C$100 million.
“Due to uncertainty, and in some cases, the imposition of tariffs in the first quarter of 2025, markets were quite volatile,” said Nathan LaPierre, an Aon partner for wealth solutions in Canada, in a statement prior to the two-day plunge. “Pension plans faced significant headwinds during the quarter, but starting from strong funded positions at the beginning of the quarter.”
Aon also reported that the yield on long-term Government of Canada bonds decreased by 10 basis points during the first quarter from the previous quarter’s level, while credit spreads widened by 10 basis points. According to the firm, the combination resulted in no change in the 4.47% discount rate.
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Tags: Aon, Aon Pension Risk Tracker, Canada, DB, Defined benefit, funded level, Funded Ratio, Nathan LaPierre, Pension Plans