Wednesday, December 6th, 2023 ⁠A topical newsletter from CIO Economics & Markets A newsletter for institutional investors, spotlighting news and trends in economics and markets. SPONSORED AD Research When Will Interest Rates Fall and by How Much? UBS analysts think the Fed will need 6 months or so to realize it can ease, gradually slicing the central bank’s benchmark by a modest amount, up to 0.75 points. Asset Allocation Hedge Fund Industry Maturing, Adapting as Investors Rebalance Rising rates and volatility favor active management, while high cash rates put pressure on fees as year-end evaluations are made. Asset Allocation What Is the Future of the 60/40 Portfolio? Already a trope in transition, the traditional portfolio had a rough 2022, so modern-day allocators must evaluate all potential paths forward. Economy Inflation Is Down, but How Long Will That Last? For several years, a Natixis report finds, as the price trends mostly point downward. Economy Higher Interest Costs Will Continue for Some Time, Study Says The so-called ‘natural interest rate’ is on the rise and will keep the cost of money aloft into the 2030s, per Bloomberg Economics. Market Moves No End in Sight for Venture Capital Struggles Due to high interest rates, among other things, VC investment in new companies and IPO exits are way down from previous years. Did someone forward you this newsletter? Sign up here to get Chief Investment Officer Spotlight directly in your mailbox!

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