Will Microsoft Overtake Apple in Market Cap Sweepstakes?

The iPhone maker faces hurdles, while its rival appears to have a smoother path.


Will the king of the market cap hill be decapitated? Apple Inc. is the most richly valued public company on Earth ($2.77 trillion). But its quarterly earnings report out Thursday at market close showed a revenue downturn and leaves it vulnerable to replacement by a surging Microsoft Corp. ($2.58 trillion).

After a general market advance fueled by the Federal Reserve’s indication it might be done with tightening, both stocks were higher Thursday, although Apple fell in after-hours trading upon the release of its report. But the Apple-Microsoft cap gap has narrowed to just $185 billion.

Both companies, founded in the 1970s, have enjoyed massive advances as the leaders of the Magnificent Seven, the cohort of Big Tech names that have dominated the market in recent years. Apple passed the $1 trillion mark in 2018, and Microsoft briefly overtook it in November 2021.

Microsoft currently boasts a momentum that Apple lacks: Bill Gates’ creation now has a large focus on two hot areas, cloud computing and artificial intelligence. Steve Jobs’s brainchild is largely hardware-oriented, with much of that concentrated in the iPhone.

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Microsoft is the best of the two in revenue growth, the most prized characteristic in tech stocks. In its September-ending quarter, the company expanded revenue by 7% year-over-year (earnings increased 9%). At Apple, by contrast, revenue was down 1%, its fourth consecutive quarter of shrinkage, with earnings ahead 13%.

“Microsoft has more of what the market wants right now, and given where we stand on the pair’s growth prospects, we wouldn’t be surprised to see it overtake Apple,” David Klink, a senior equities analyst at Huntington Private Bank, told Bloomberg.

Over the past 12 months, Microsoft’s stock rose at almost double the pace of Apple, 56% versus 28%. Since the entire market slipped in mid-2023, the two companies’ trajectories have also been much different: Apple is still down 10% from its all-time high in July, while Microsoft has recovered to just a few dollars short of its zenith.

Apple has encountered major problems with China, where most iPhones are made. The demand for the devices in China is in question, as the Beijing regime is considering a ban on Apple products for government use and is investigating the firm’s largest manufacturer in the country, FoxConn, over land use and tax payments, according to media reports.

On the earnings call, Apple CEO Tim Cook emphasized higher sales of iPhones, helped by the new 15 model. The phone segment is half of the company’s revenues. “Customers are loving iPhone 15,” he said. An analyst on the call noted that the iPhone 14’s year-before sales were artificially depressed because of supply disruptions from China’s lockdown then. Meanwhile, sales of Mac computers (10% of revenue) and iPads (7%) were off.

Tags: Microsoft, Apple, tech, market cap, Magnificent Seven, revenue, earnings, China, iPhone, cloud computing, artificial intelligence

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Proxy Voters, ESG Groups Continue to Face Congressional Scrutiny

Advisory service providers and a decarbonization nonprofit were served with subpoenas by the House Judiciary Committee.



The House Judiciary Committee has issued a subpoena to As You Sow—a nonprofit shareholder representative and climate action advocacy organization—and its CEO, Andrew Behar, seeking documents and instructing Behar to testify before the committee on December 1.

The subpoena served to As You Sow alleged that “corporations are collectively adopting and imposing left-wing environmental, social, and governance (ESG)-related goals, and the Committee is concerned that As You Sow appears to facilitate collusion that may violate U.S. antitrust law.”

The committee explained in the subpoena that it seeks documents and testimony from As You Sow to “understand how and to what extent As You Sow may facilitate collusion to promote ESG-related goals.”

The committee previously sent request-for-information letters to As You Sow and other organizations, such as proxy advisory service providers Glass, Lewis & Co. LLC and Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. in August. Requests were also sent to firms and advocates in the net-zero and decarbonization sectors, such as Ceres, a sustainability-focused nonprofit organization working on capital markets issues, and Aviva plc, a major insurance provider in the U.K.

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Glass Lewis, Ceres and Aviva did not respond to a request for comment, and ISS declined to comment. Chief Investment Officer is owned by ISS.

The committee’s requests, which were broadly similar in each case, specified documents relating to: goals regarding climate change; how the groups arrived at those goals; communications related to shareholder proposals that promote decarbonization; communications with shareholder engagement service providers, such as As You Sow, on how to reduce emissions through shareholder actions; communications related to how asset managers can advance decarbonization; and how decarbonization goals impact consumers of “fossil fuels such as coal, gas, and oil.”

The subpoena issued Wednesday alleges that As You Sow was non-responsive to the August request.

Danielle Fugere, president and chief counsel of As You Sow, says Behar will not testify before the committee, despite the subpoena.

Fugere says the subpoenas are “intended to reduce climate action” and that the committee has “not spelled out” what the antitrust violation would be in this case. Fugere argues that helping shareholders who want to take “climate into account” has “no anti-competitive impact whatsoever.”

Fugere adds that “there is no negative competitive impact or agreement,” because the nonprofit is not leveraging shareholder coordination to fix prices, split markets or undertake other anti-competitive behavior. She says many investors care a lot about environmental issues, and As You Sow represents their interests in communications with a public company and can assist them in the shareholder proposal and proxy voting process, adding that As You Sow doesn’t understand the committee’s claims and cannot comply with the document request due to its breadth.

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