The New Hybrid DC Plans in Corporate America

From aiCIO magazine's April issue: Charlie Ruffel on closing in on your grandson's defined contribution plan.

76-aiCIO413MEGA_Hybrid_JBurtonTo view this article in digital magazine formatclick here.  

Considering the duration of the experimentworkplace defined contribution (DC) plans are essentially two decades old and counting—the DC marketplace has come a long way in a short time.

Since the DC plan is now the primary American workplace savings mechanism, if viewed through a societal lens it still falls short on coverage (only about 40% of working Americans put money into a workplace plan, according to the Employee Benefits Research Institute) and on contribution rates. Simply put, not enough Americans have DC accounts, and those who do, tend not to save enough. Of course, in the New World, regardless of the savings vehicle, it was ever thus.

In the large corporate marketplace, the first problem is no problem at all; almost all employees have access to the DC plan, generally with fewer and fewer vesting requirements. And the second problem is currently being vigorously tackled. Perhaps it should surprise no one that the best DC plans from a participant standpoint are found at Fortune 500 companies. Scale, combined with investment and benefits expertise, are the difference makers. As a consequence, more and more American workers at large companies are getting access to (or, more to the point, are being defaulted into) best-in-class investment vehicles at institutional rates. Thus, aiCIO examines the best examples of latter-day DC plan design in Fortune 500 companies.

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Much of the progress made in defined contribution plans this last decade has been lost in the hue and cry that has accompanied the decline of defined benefit (DB) plans. Indeed, there are flat-earthers still (many, it seems, in Washington, DC) who appear to believe that, contrary to the facts on the ground, DB plans are the birthright of long-serving employees. In the public sector, that wisdom will linger for a while, but even there, for the sponsoring institution (ultimately, the taxpayer), it will simply prove unaffordable to keep those promises. A formidable collection of interests has established itself to deny this reality, but reality it is. In time, it will assert itself.

Auspiciously, in a rare spasm of lucidity in 2006, Congress recognized this reality with regard to corporate America at least, and the passage of the Pension Protection Act (PPA) reflected this understanding. The PPA both finalized the changes in accounting standards that made DB plans too risky for most American corporations and also codified what the defined contribution marketplace was already adopting. Specifically, this meant  easing the path toward an “opt-out” construct. From their beginnings, DC plans had an “opt-in” architecture, in which employees decided on whether and how much they saved, and chose their savings vehicles from the various funds the sponsor approved for inclusion in the plan menu. The net result, it was widely agreed, was very substantial growth of DC assets but poorly constructed investment portfolios for most participants. The Department of Labor (DoL) then followed the PPA’s lead by, among other things, clarifying the “safe harbors” that plan sponsors would enjoy in the choice of default investment vehicles, the so-called QDIAs (Qualified Default Investment Alternatives). Importantly, the QDIA did not include stable value, and instead focused on asset allocation vehicles.

The net result of these legislative and regulatory developments was profound: the architecture that will characterize the next generation of DC plans is now in place. Indeed, in the intervening years, a multiplicity of corporate sponsors has begun to put best-in-class plans in place.

A sine qua non for these best-in-class plans is automatic enrollment. From its start at McDonalds some 15 years ago (at that time unfortunately termed “negative enrollment”), large corporate plans have led the way in this regard. Today, according to the latest PLANSPONSOR data, 60% of plans with more than $1 billion in assets have adopted automatic enrollment. There is little excuse not to: even in those rare instances when a defined benefit plan remains open and vibrant, auto-enrollment in the DC plan is only a virtue, and plan sponsors have begun to see it that way.

Where better plans differentiate themselves from good plans is in what comes next: the default contribution rate itself, and the choice of QDIA. There is no one gold standard for contribution rates, because a corporation with an open defined benefit plan cannot be expected to establish a double-digit default contribution rate for its DC plan. But many large plans are beginning to see their way clear to moving toward double-digit contribution rates by auto-escalating participants either at every pay rise or on an annual basis, and many have also pushed the starting default rate higher, to 5% or 6% from 3%. According to PLANSPONSOR data, some 52% of mega-plans which have adopted auto-enrollment have also adopted auto-increases. Newark-headquartered Prudential is a best-in-class example of this, with an aggressive and well thought-through auto-escalation feature.

But the real crucible for best-in-class DC plans is not so much plan design, in which enormous progress has been made but where the basic parameters are now accepted (auto-enrollment and auto-escalation), but in investment choices in general and QDIA choices in particular. Here a history lesson is in order. Long before the PPA laid down its edicts, a growing group of providers had begun to promote the efficacy of target-date funds for DC participants. BGI understood this before its peers, but the mutual fund complexes, specifically Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, and Vanguard were quick to follow suit. From the outset, the mutual fund target-date funds hoovered in assets; an excess of $500 billion is now in these vehicles. While they could be criticized on a number of grounds—these were mutual funds (collective investment trusts can be cheaper for large institutions) and for the most part, they were made up entirely of proprietary asset management capabilities (at a time when open architecture was widely agreed to provide better investment outcomes)—there was no stopping their growth. In part, this was because it was widely recognized that, flaws or not, these target-date funds were better for DC participants than the status quo ante—participants doing their own asset allocation and failing miserably to construct intelligent portfolios for anything other than a roaring bull market. 

Many Fortune 500 plans today still keep a Fidelity, Vanguard, or T Rowe Price target fund as their QDIA, but they are a shrinking majority. There is a new focus on cost, and also a new focus on so-called custom target-date funds. And the DoL's February 2013 paper, Target Date Retirement FundsTips for ERISA Plan Fiduciaries, comes closer than ever before to encouraging plan sponsors to look into and adopt custom or non-proprietary solutions.

One of the challenges facing would-be adopters of custom target funds is that most asset managers—the mutual fund complexes in particular, but even the institutional players like BlackRock and JP Morgan—deep down would prefer that their clients use their proprietary vehicles. When the Boeing pension system decided to go the custom route, it had to find both a glide path manager (it selected BlackRock) as well as a provider to pick the underlying asset managers (Russell Investments). Walmart, in a closely-watched decision, reportedly made exactly the same choice, recently with the same vendors.

Estimates of the size of the custom QDIA market vary enormously, but some are as high as $90 billion, with more than 120 large plans adopting some variant of custom QDIAs, according to preliminary and yet-unpublished research done by the Defined Contribution Investment Industry Association. Russell Investments, one of the dominant players in the custom space, reckons it has interacted with more than 50 large plans that are considering custom target-date solutions. The latest PLANSPONSOR data for mega-plans indicated that 16% of these plans have a customized target-date fund already in place, and another 30% are considering such a construct.

For many plan sponsors, however, this is a bridge too far. Some argue that it takes on too much fiduciary risk—although an alternative view which has recently been gaining currency is that fiduciary risk may decrease as control of the glide path, fees, and guidelines are uniquely managed. It also requires a real commitment of resources. Boeing, for example, dedicated considerable resources from its defined benefit-focused investment staff to getting itself comfortable with its custom QDIA decision. Most plan sponsors don't have Boeing's in-house investment expertise, but even among those that do, Atlanta-based UPS being a case in point, some choose to leave their DC plan design entirely in the hands of HR, and not Treasury.

The interest in custom is, of course, part of a bigger phenomenon: almost all large plans are looking in some shape or form to upgrade their target-date solution. As a result, better off-the-shelf solutions are emerging as well, including multi-manager and active/passive combinations.  This is driven at least in part by the impact of fee disclosures and the unbundling of investment management from recordkeeping.

That said, there is a growing consensus that the custom QDIA market is inexorably on the rise, driven by demand more than supply. A growing number of sponsors are looking for control and flexibility of glide-path design and asset manager selection; others are acutely aware of cost, and are looking to use the scale of assets flowing into their QDIAs to lower fund fees. Still others—Intel is the best-known and most vocal advocate, but Verizon is also to the fore in this regard—have used an open-architecture manager selection process to get alternative asset classes, such as private real estate, private equity and hedge funds, into their QDIA.

Evolving attitudes on the part of recordkeepers are also smoothing the path toward more custom solutions. Fidelity, for one—while openly obstructionist only on occasion—tended to steer its recordkeeping relationships toward its proprietary Freedom Funds solutions. If this approach bore no fruit with its larger clients, it offered various quasi-customized index or semi-open target-date funds. Now both Fidelity and Vanguard will, as recordkeepers, accommodate custom target-date funds.

United Technologies Corporation (UTC), the aerospace and building systems multinational based in Hartford, Connecticut, is a clear example of a best-in-class approach to a QDIA. The company has won plaudits for its inclusion of a retirement income component into its QDIA (more on that later), but its approach to its target-date merits real attention. In 2008 UTC adopted auto-enrollment (the company still has a DB plan, but it is closed to new entrants), and its initial default target-date was the off-the-shelf Vanguard target-date series. In 2010, UTC switched horses when it chose AllianceBernstein as its asset allocation and glide path partner. UTC's in-house investment staff (the same group which runs the DB plan) does the underlying manager selection and due diligence. The change represented a philosophical shift, says Robin Diamonte, CIO at UTC: "We wanted more simplicity and more flexibility, and we wanted it at an even lower cost."

The net result is hard to argue with. The United Technologies DC plan now has some $19 billion in assets, of which more than $2 billion is already in lifecycle options that are predominantly custom target-date funds. The Vanguard target-date funds, which were mutual funds, cost participants about 19 to 20 basis points, Diamonte reckons. The custom funds, which are a combination of Collective Investment Trusts and separate accounts, not mutual funds, cost participants about nine basis points, in large part due to the scale of assets now in the funds. The target-date funds' underlying investment sleeves are all passive. Likewise, the plan's six core options, for those participants that choose to make their own investment choices, are all passive, and managed by State Street Global Advisors. United Technologies  also offers a mutual fund window for those determined to go it alone, but less than 1% of the fund's assets have taken that route, UTC officials say.

The corporation matches up to 60% of the first 6% of employee contributions. Interestingly, UTC does not default participants into an auto-escalating structure; instead it offers an opt-in auto-escalation feature. That could change to an opt-out option this year, officials say.

Company stock is an old DC bugbear. Here UTC, as is typical for many Fortune 500 companies, is somewhat ambivalent. Participants receive frequent communications about diversification and when a participant who has more than 20% of assets in UTC stock tries to increase their allocation, they must read a specific diversification message before they can proceed. However, UTC still uses company stock in its match. "This is a difficult area for many large corporations," says Josh Cohen, the Chicago-based defined contribution practice leader at Russell Investments. "Most understand that company stock shouldn't play a significant part in their employees' DC portfolios, but that's a fight that few large plans have chosen to fight."

Stable value is another DC option with which many corporations struggle, and most are attempting to de-emphasize. Once again, UTC seems to have differentiated itself, with three fully-wrapped offerings (Prudential, MetLife, and ING are the insurers) but with 16 underlying managers, each with a different benchmark, and all picked and monitored by UTC itself. These stable value funds are valued at over $8 billion—slightly more than 40% of the plan's assets.

Where United Technologies has truly distanced itself, however, is in regard to retirement income. Some forward-thinking corporations have long understood the importance of a guaranteed income stream for their retirees, and sought to put that capability in the hands of its DC participants: IBM, which enables its participants to access an annuity product at institutional pricing at retirement, is the premier example. But UTC has gone beyond this. Working with AllianceBernstein, whose custom target-date/retirement income group is among the more innovative in the industry, UTC has put in place a shift that begins at age 48, defaulting participants already in the lifecycle option fund into variable annuity contracts that put a floor on their retirement income, insulating them from declines in market value . By age 60, their entire balance is essentially guaranteed against loss. Three insurers—Lincoln, Prudential, and Nationwide—together provide this guarantee. 

However, the guarantee comes at a price: a 48-year old in the target-date fund will only be paying nine basis points, whereas a fully-insured 60 year-old will be paying 125 basis points per annum, and will have been paying some portion of that 125 basis points for the proceeding years. Of course, any participant can opt out of the lifetime income component of the plan at the outset, and—this is not the case in the retail annuity space—any participant can at any time choose to opt out and receive the entire cash value of the investment fund. "We felt we had to make it completely revocable," Diamonte says. "That was key." The lifetime income strategy was launched in June 2012, and already has $630 million in assets.

No other mega-plan has been so proactive. Russell's Cohen speculates that when it comes to retirement income, many plan sponsors are waiting for the DoL's lead. "They're waiting for a safe harbor ruling," Cohen says. "And we don't think that will come, certainly not anytime soon. "For her part, Diamonte says she has no doubt that, in time, many other plans will follow UTC's lead. She also notes that the company's determination to offer its employees lifetime retirement income in the DC era was a function of the unanimity of vision shared by HR, Treasury, ERISA counsel, and the C-Suite at the corporation. "Everyone bought in," she says. "We examined the pros and cons from every angle, and did our homework. We determined that it was the right thing to do for our employees, and we determined that it was doable at the right price."

For the next few years at least, it seems that large corporate DC plans have their role model. —CR

The New Alternatives

From aiCIO magazine's April issue: Many consider hedge funds and private equity mainstream. Elizabeth Pfeuti discusses where the real alternatives are for sophisticated investors.

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For drivers trying to park in Beijing, six out of every seven will be disappointed. This is because only 740,000 parking spaces have been built to accommodate the 5 million cars that enter the city each day—and the number of cars is rising.

There are some of you thinking that’s an interesting statistic. There are some wondering how many spaces there are in London/Manhattan/Sydney that makes your daily commute such a drag. But there are others—the sharpest ones?—considering how they can take advantage of the situation for their investment portfolio, and it is these people who are pushing the boundaries to the New Alternatives.

Time was that breaking off a 2% piece of an institutional investment portfolio to buy a mix of hedge funds, private equity, and/or real estate was seen to be something of a statement. One of the most forward-thinking European investors went on the record-and was hastily taken off by his PR—as saying his portfolio had allocated to hedge funds in late 2008, likening it to conducting an intimate act in public.

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Hedge funds used to be exciting; private equity used to have a whimsical charm that enticed and alarmed institutional investors in equal measure. Now they, along with stablemate real estate, enjoy allocations of up to 20% in most sophisticated portfolios. The annual Global Pension Asset Study by consulting firm Towers Watson showed that at the end of 2012, the average allocation to “other”—meaning anything outside bonds, equities, or cash-was 19%, up from 5% in 1996. This average took into account pension fund investors across the globe, including the ends of the spectrum: By the end of last year, Japanese investors—the second largest group in terms of assets—had a 7% allocation to “other”; the Swiss, with one of the smallest combined asset piles, had allocated 30%. 

This shows that “alternative” is a misnomer for asset classes that have become mainstream to most sophisticated investors. Labels don’t matter if the performance is there, but sadly, many in this category have failed to exceed expectations in recent years: The Hedge Fund Research Index shows that across this sector, the average return has lagged the S&P 500 over the last decade.

Correlation is also a key point for investors to consider as these asset classes were meant to be “the great diversifiers”; but disappointment is apparent here as well. In September 2011, correlation between hedge funds and the S&P 500 rose to a record 98%, according to analysis by Merrill Lynch. This measure had fallen to 82% a year later and remains in similar territory, which is significantly above the 30% historical average, the investment bank said.

To clarify, this article is not a call for investors to turn on these asset classes and run. Indeed, they are working very well in many institutional portfolios—but they no longer do the job for which they were intended because the diversification benefits are no longer there. Investors need more options.

There are two main tactics to breaking new investment ground. The first is approaching mainstream asset classes in a new way; the second is going completely left field.

For the sake of championing innovation, let’s go with the second theme first.

 

What was the last song you heard on the radio, an iPod, or in a shopping mall? Chances are, someone in the Netherlands benefitted from you listening to it.

APG, the sole asset manager of Europe’s largest pure-play pension fund ABP, bought the royalty rights to 30,000 songs in 2009, so each time one of them is broadcast, a few cents goes to top up the retirement assets of Dutch civil servants.

“The original idea came from one of our employees,” said Dempsey Gable, the fund manager of APG’s Opportunity Fund. “We ask everyone to come up with new ideas—we have looked at hundreds.”

Gable is based in New York and oversees the fund that was launched when APG was still run in-house at ABP in 2006. “We had 13 other funds that invested in traditional asset classes—real estate, infrastructure, financial instruments—we wanted to create something for new ideas, for unique and unconventional investment concepts,” he said.

The new fund took an approach that APG describes as "tactical, one-off, and opportunistic"—Gable calls it sourcing the "innovation premium"—but is based on looking for investments that offer deep value to the fund and take a long-term view of the macro-economic landscape. "We have themes, but are open to new strategies. If we think something is worth pursuing, we will do so-we don't have to be looking to commit huge amounts to it," he said.

The fund has also been benefiting from our couch potato tendencies. It took stakes in film rights and whole series of popular television shows, most notably crime drama CSI, which is one of the most viewed in the world. The back catalog of the musical theatre legends Rodgers & Hammerstein belongs to the fund too, so you can bet return on investment goes up around Christmas time as we watch Julie Andrews and cast "Climb Every Mountain" amongst other seasonal favourites.

Buying media rights might seem like a simple task compared to hedging out volatility or currency movements, but accessing these investments is not straightforward. "You need someone with experience, who knows what they are doing," said Gable. "Not a banker or analyst who has worked on deals between media companies. You need someone who has actually worked in this area and knows it inside out. And if something is so complex you can't see a way of investigating it thoroughly, you walk away. As attractive as an opportunity may seem, we always remember that we are investing pension fund money."

This is a key point about the New Alternatives. Arguably anyone with a calculator, phone, and Internet connection (plus an appetite for taking risk) can invest in equities—they can even go short or long, and watch for market events given enough time. With a healthy appreciation of the yield curve and access to a Bloomberg terminal, government bond investment is relatively straightforward. Corporate bond investment is trickier, but it does not require in-depth knowledge of each company and sector from which debt is bought. Why else would these functions be the first brought in-house by a pension fund taking control of its own asset management?

The New Alternatives cannot be run by just anyone and it is therefore unlikely they will get overcrowded, which is a criticism that has been levelled at the hedge fund sector. A poll published by SEI Investment Management Services last month showed almost three quarters of institutional investors were put off allocating to hedge funds due to the number of "me too" vehicles being touted in the sector. It seems the most sophisticated institutional investors need innovation to be either more obvious or more eloquently explained to allocate capital to the sector, especially when they are covering the basics in-house.

Private equity investment has not received as much criticism as hedge funds for two main reasons: First, there has been less to criticize. Fundraising ground to a halt during the financial crisis and as investors were looking for new ideas in the aftermath, many private equity houses found they were unable to access the kind of leverage available before the Lehman Brothers collapse. Second, the long-term investment nature of these funds means returns earned over the crisis are only just being released to investors. In some cases, this is being further delayed due to the poor appetite for IPOs, meaning the stockpile of privately owned companies is reaching record levels.

Back to the diversifying tactics. In June 2011, a study from Marquette Associates using data from 1992 to 2010 showed a 70% correlation between a global sample of pooled private equity funds and the S&P 500. During this time, the BarCap Aggregate index of bonds had a 15% negative correlation.

This makes intuitive sense, as many of the companies being bought and sold after a restructure were similar businesses to those available on public stock markets. Over time, the term "private equity" has come to describe a narrow set of operations when it should be a catch all for much more—many of the New Alternatives are private equity investments.

Floating, in its traditional sense rather than being associated with financial markets, has been impressing European investors of late. When asked for their asset class pick to contribute to our Forty Under Forty graphic (see page 8), two out of the 15 Europeans on our list cited shipping as being one of their favored options.

One corporate fund CIO, who allocated to the sector last year, explained the pull of the asset class: "It is your ship, a real asset—it is not a derivative—and you can break a bottle on it and see where it is in the world using satellite navigation. There is no stock market involvement and its value is not dependent on fluctuations in those markets."

Of course, if the global economy is depressed then there is a knock-on effect to the number of ships in service transporting goods. But shipping has the jump on other sectors linked to the import/export cycle, the CIO said. "Unlike other real assets, like property and infrastructure, ships do not have to be stuck in undesirable locations. The smaller ships are like taxis and can easily access some of the emerging market ports that are not as well established as others around the world," he said.

Just like music publishing, or any other esoteric investment, shipping is a multi-billion dollar industry—so knowing where and how to access the market is essential. It is unlikely a pension fund, endowment, or other institutional investor will have the resources in-house to enable it to take the plunge, but that should not be a barrier, according to acolytes of the New Alternatives.

"You don't have to be of a terrific size to access these new markets," said Gable at APG. "You just have to find a manager who has the skill set and a track record—you don't want to be the first ones there—and knows how to report to institutional investors."

Sifting through mailbags full of pitches from these potential new fund managers is Alan Goodman, principal in fund management at the UK's Pension Protection Fund (PPF)—the lifeboat for bankrupt company pension schemes—and head of its 20% allocation to alternatives. (He is also in our Forty Under Forty on page 36.)

The £13 billion fund announced last year that it was allocating to timber and agricultural land (which we will come to later), but Goodman has been presented with a much wider range of options in his three years at the PPF. "We receive lots of new ideas each week—some of them are really different—but we just don't have the time and resources, like many of the larger institutions do, to look into it all as closely as we would like," he said.

What the fund has been doing, however, is looking at traditional asset classes in a new way, which brings us to the other prong of the New Alternatives approach that investors are beginning to embrace. "Some alternatives, private equity for example, are not really alternatives," said Goodman. "We are approaching traditional asset classes in innovative ways, which creates novel ideas. In fixed income, we have looked at asset-backed securities and senior loans, credit and mezzanine debt where long-term investors have been relatively smaller players. Now that many links with banks have been broken, this sector is evolving much faster than ever before."

Nick Spencer, director of consulting at Russell Investments, noted that there had been an evolutionary shift in credit markets since the financial crisis as banks had seen regulators force them to wind down lending and improve their balance sheets. This had left a gap where long-term investors (what aiCIO calls Secret Capital) can step in. "Opportunities are there if you know where to look and how to access them," said Spencer. "These opportunities were once just available to banks, hedge funds, and other sophisticated financial institutions—it was very much a relationship-driven business."

Since cheap credit dried up, the doors of this closed world have been pried apart a few inches—rather than flung wide open—and only the very sophisticated should get involved directly, warns Spencer. "These deals are sometimes only open for a matter of hours," he said, "so a co-investment strategy is often an option, and investors have to have completed full due diligence before taking part. Some managers have created innovative structures and vehicles that make some of the more exclusive opportunities available to a broader set of investors."

By taking part in these deals, institutional investors are replacing investment banks with pools of assets sitting ready to be put to work. Therefore pipelines of capital have to be made available by the new entrants to these situations, and investors may have to be willing to wait four to five years before they see any action—or returns.

Pension Corporation, the specialist pension reinsurer, has been banging the drum about long-term investors stepping into the direct lending market where banks have had to pull back. Mark Gull, co-head of asset-liability management at the firm, told aiCIO last year that unwinding bank balance sheets made happy hunting grounds for institutional investors, then announced it had bought a £50 million bond issued by a social trust, Raglan Housing Association, in September.

A week earlier, Dutch pension fund investor PGGM revealed it had bought a 60% stake in the UK's largest student housing landlord, University Partnerships, from bulge-bracket bank Barclays. The deal was estimated to be worth £840 million and marked a new type of real estate investment that was additionally taking advantage of the breakdown in the banking sector. 

Taking assets off banks' balance sheets is just one side of the equation. The New Alternatives consider another: investing in their equity—and rely on the belief that they are not completely rotten.

In September 2008, the collapse of Lehman Brothers confounded many thousands of people working in the bank around the world. Why? Their units had been hugely profitable for years. Third-party investors in the bank lost everything, or so much that it was uneconomical to figure out the exact details, as they were exposed to the whole banking giant. Banks have since bounced bank and many are reporting record profits. So what if there was a way to get exposure to the parts of the bank that are doing well and insulate investment from the parts that look risky? It seems there is—and pension fund money is looking at it.

There are two main ways of making a bank compliant with Basel II regulations: trim its balance sheet or boost its equity component. Most banks' cost of capital has made it too expensive to hit up equity markets, and with an estimated $2.5 trillion shortfall, it is unlikely that investors will be willing to put up the total cash required.

A new idea being touted by a partnership of former bankers is to post equity against a profitable unit of the bank in a watertight contract. This contract sees the investor act as guarantor and reap a slice of any profits made by the section. The capital would be drawn upon only in the event of a loss being made by the section creating a "risk transfer" arrangement. This enables the bank to spread the capital it already holds around to its more needy units and strengthen itself to Basel II standards. Importantly, the posted equity is held in US Treasuries in an escrow account and even if the bank collapses under the weight of its loan book, the investor's capital is not touched.

 

For those still smarting from the financial crisis, or are unconvinced by the great banking turnaround in recent years, a more digestible idea has been gathering pace recently. Money may make the world go around, but those living on it will always need food, and agricultural land—a real estate derivative—has become a popular theme.

Legendary investor Jim Rogers said he was buying farmland at the turn of last year, and stepped alongside many larger institutions. Railpen, one of the largest pension fund investors in the UK, -allocated to agricultural land last year along with the aforementioned PPF.

And the numbers are compelling. Between 1964 and 1966, the average person (geographical situation averaged out) consumed 2,358 calories a day, according to the Food and Agriculture Association of the United Nations. By 2015, this is estimated to jump to 2,940 a day, eventually rising to 3,050 by 2030. The breakdown of these calories has leant increasingly toward to animal products, which require huge quantities of feed to be cultivated—which in turn requires lots of land.

More widely, commodities need reinvestigation, as the world is unrepentant in its appetite to consume (in all senses of the word). This sector was often lumped beside hedge funds, private equity, and real estate as a good diversifier, but tremendous shock waves that hit some headline investments convinced many that the sector was too unreliable for them.

The world continues to turn, however, and its resources are needed more than ever. As oil reserves dwindle, renewable energy comes to the fore; as developing nations industrialize, their citizens need waste water facilities. This all falls under the commodity banner. The task, however, is accessing these markets. Like the other New Alternatives, it's also about finding the right person to do it, for regulation and popular sentiment may have an impact that only an expert could recognize and pre-empt.

"Commodities are an interesting, challenging, and vast category," said Peter Tobeason, partner at Silvercrest Asset Management, a specialist in the field. "Investors start out with an index, which is an appropriate first step, but the next step is to figure out how to get specific exposures." Many investors were burned by commodities in years past, either by holding too broad a basket or not being prepared for the volatility the asset class contained. By taking a long-term view and actively managing exposure, Tobeason says risk can be reduced by more than 50%.

Once again, the banks that once traded these goods have shrunk away from all but the most solid of markets, according to Tobeason, and while gold and other mainstream commodities react to macro-economic influences, others remain disconnected from market sentiment. This disconnection is the key to diversifying—to which hedge funds, private equity, and real estate can no longer lay claim.

APG's Gable refers to the innovation premium, something only those willing to dare to be different can achieve. In the post-crisis search for assets that can truly diversify portfolios, we might soon all be wondering how we got by without an allocation to Chinese car parking, the musical Oklahoma!, or pharmaceutical patents—or at least be thanking the Dutch for investing in them.

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