Swedish Pension Responds to Accusation of Taking Blacklist Too Far

AP7 was accused of committing a ‘security scandal’ by linkingWärtsilä to nuclear weapons production.

AP7 is standing by its decision to blacklist a Finnish marine technology company after the Swedish pension fund was accused of causing a “security scandal” for linking the firm to nuclear weapon component production.

An editorial in Swedish financial newspaper Dagens industri claimed AP7’s decision to blacklist Wärtsilä Corporation for making a propeller for US submarines that carry nuclear weapons shows “the urgent need for resistance to the ideas that are sailing into the financial world under sustainability flags.”

The pension fund “does not make its own analysis of which companies are really involved in the details of nuclear weapons production,” stated the editorial. “It is namely a knowledge that really borders on unauthorized position with secret information and one can hope that AP7 has not reached that far.”

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The editorial also lashed out at Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS), the parent company of CIO, for allegedly providing the analysis that formed the basis for AP7 blacklisting Wärtsilä. However, AP7 said it got its information regarding Wärtsilä’s involvement in nuclear weapons production from the company itself.

“All countries have the right to have a defense,” Johan Florén, AP7’s head of communications and corporate governance, wrote in a response that was published in Dagens industri and posted on AP7’s website. “However, the fund does not invest in companies that are directly involved in nuclear weapons development, which Wärtsilä is through a wholly owned subsidiary in the United States, according to the company’s own information to the press and public sources.”

Florén said that in 2008, AP7’s board incorporated a nuclear weapons criterion for exclusion in connection with Sweden signing a convention against cluster munitions.

“Since the introduction of the nuclear weapons criterion, AP7’s assessment has also been that it is in line with Sweden’s position to work for nuclear disarmament,” said Florén. “But the debate is intense and how this is interpreted can undoubtedly be influenced by new political decisions. Regardless of which, we will, of course, follow the directives given to us by the Riksdag.”

In addition to blacklisting Wärtsilä, AP7 last month also blacklisted five Chinese companies for failing to align with the Paris Agreement, and a Thailand-based company for human rights violations in connection with a collapsed hydropower plant in Laos. The seven additions brought the total number of companies excluded from the fund’s investments to 93. The blacklist is revised twice a year, with the next revision coming in June.

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Byron Wien: Gold Price Will Hit Record This Year

The Wall Street sage issues a prediction for the metal among his 10 expected ‘surprises’ for 2022.

The year-ahead prognostications of longtime financial pundit Byron Wien are always an event. His latest list of 10 forecasts, for 2022, is topped by a bullish outlook for gold—coming amid a flat stock market.

To Wien, now the vice chairman at investment house Blackstone, lagging gold is poised to gain 20% in price this year, hitting a new record. The metal, which had a nice run-up at the pandemic’s start, reached a peak of $2,070 per ounce in August 2020, then began falling, to $1,804 as of Monday’s closing. A 20% increase would elevate the price to $2,165.

Although gold has shown brief upward spurts since its summer 2020 apex, it has lagged behind Bitcoin, which has shot up more than four-fold over the same period. Analysts continue to argue whether bullion, a historical refuge in shaky times, or the hot new cryptocurrency will prevail in the long run as the refuge asset of choice.

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Wien, however, is convinced that gold will have an edge over crypto as inflation continues to bedevil the nation and its economy. Inflation this year will be a still-uncomfortable 4.5%, Wien stated, another of his 2022 divinations. 

“Despite strong growth in the US, investors seek the perceived safety and inflation hedge of gold amidst rising prices and volatility,” he foresees. “Gold reclaims its title as a haven for newly minted billionaires, even as cryptocurrencies continue to gain market share.”

Wien’s predictions, which the Wall Street celebrity calls the “10 surprises” he expects in the future, are always read eagerly in the financial community. He started issuing them in 1986, when he was chief US investment strategist at Morgan Stanley. Since 2018, he has published his 10 auguries with the help of Joe Zidle, chief investment strategist for Blackstone’s private wealth operation. 

By Wien’s definition, his surprises are events that the average investor thinks have just a one in three chance of occurring, while the Wall Street savant believes they actually possess better than 50% odds of happening.

Aside from his thoughts on gold, his most striking conjecture this year concerns a flat stock market. “The combination of strong earnings clashes with rising interest rates” and results in the S&P 500 “making no progress in 2022,” Wien wrote. Plus, he went on, a market correction will take place but fall short of the 20% slide that signals a bear market.

Among his other 2022 calls are that the benchmark 10-year Treasury will reach 2.75% (now it is at 1.63%), oil will rise to more than $100 per barrel (now $76), and the world returns to an almost pre-pandemic status despite the ongoing presence of the coronavirus.

Wien’s January 2021 exercise in prophecy had several good calls, including ongoing economic growth and a strengthening dollar. But there were duds, such as his expectation for better US-China relations, a Justice Department cessation of actions against Facebook and Google-parent Alphabet, and the stock market rally becoming broader.

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