Chicago Mayor Avoids Pension Mess in Final Budget Speech

Emanuel touts deficit shrinkage, but a still-whopping $28 billion hole awaits his successor next year.

The mayor of Chicago, while claiming public policy successes over his past two tenures, during his final budgetary speech Wednesday ignored addressing the future of the second city’s giant pension hole.

Rahm Emanuel’s 2019 fiscal blueprint, dubbed a “feel good” budget in the media, will increase funding for youth investments, public safety reforms, work programs for the previously incarcerated, and other neighborhood services. Although he didn’t give any plans on how to save Chicago’s four pension funds from insolvency, much of his time was dedicated to how he had lowered the deficit by raising fees and taxes over the past several years.

“To those who thought demise and decay were preordained and just around the corner, from the schooling of our children to the strength and size of our police force to the success of our economy, Chicagoans showed the resolve and resilience that define the character of this great city,” he said.

Last month, Emanuel said he will not run for a third term, meaning the city’s $28 billion pension problem is something his successor will have to face when the incumbent steps down in May. Indeed, the gap has shrunk significantly from the $35.7 billion the mayor inherited in 2011, but the unfunded portion is still huge. The city is so strapped it is currently contemplating a $10 billion bond sale to help pay the debt.

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Carole Brown, Chicago’s chief financial officer, said that a bond issue would not fully resolve the problem, and that Emanuel will need to conduct a more detailed proposal on the topic by year-end.

Coincidentally, the mayor did hint at addressing the retirement situation in December, but did not say whether this would indicate a full-fledged plan or a simple guideline for the next mayor.

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Ohio Retirement System Lowers Assumed Rate of Return

Fund is cutting the rates for public employee and healthcare plans due to lower market expectations.

The Ohio Public Employees Retirement System’s trustees have decided to lower its assumed rate of return for two of its five pension funds, owing to a more downbeat view of market performance ahead.

The $101.4 billion organization will drop the rate for its public pension fund to 7.2% and its healthcare plan to 6% from 7.5% and 6.5%, respectively. The board made the change  at its Wednesday  meeting, citing what it called “declining market expectations.”

The rates for the other three funds, the school employees retirement system, the state teachers retirement system, and the police and fire fund,  remained unchanged.

Liabilities for the plan, which is 81% funded, currently total $117 billion, and it expects to pay out about 60% of that amount to retirees over the next 10 to 15 years.

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Karen Carraher, the retirement system’s executive director, said it “does not take this step lightly,” as lowering the rate of return could have negative effects on member benefits.

“Determining what steps to make after changing the rate will be a challenging decision,” she said.

The Ohio retirement organization’s defined benefit asset allocation, which totaled $98 billion in assets as of March 31, was 29.5% alternatives, 21.7% domestic equities, and 21.7%  fixed income. About 18.8% of assets were in international equities and 5.3% was in risk parity. Closing out the portfolio was 1.9% in global tactical asset allocation, 1% in commodities, and 0.1% in opportunistic strategies.

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