Half of Middle-Market Dealmakers See No Impact From Trump on Private Equity Fundraising

ACG New York survey shows most expect private-equity investments will outpace hedge-fund and venture-capital investments in 2H.

Middle-market dealmakers have toned down their expectations about the impact of the Trump administration, according to a survey from the Association for Corporate Growth (ACG) New York. At the end of 2016, 79% of respondents to the ACG New York survey anticipated that the incoming president would have a positive impact on private equity’s ability to raise capital. In the current midyear survey, only 37% believe the same, with another 52% expecting no impact resulting from the Trump administration.

Deal-making activity in the middle market will get stronger in the second half of 2017, compared to the first half, according to 47% of respondents. However, another 45% expect the middle-market mergers and acquisitions pace to remain constant in the second half of the year.

“This year’s mid-year ACG New York member survey comes at a particularly interesting time for the middle market; we are crossing the halfway point of the first year of a new presidential administration and the economy is holding steady with the Dow well above 20,000 and the unemployment rate at one of its lowest levels,” said David Hellier, president, ACG New York. He added, “ACG members have consistently demonstrated the ability to provide useful insights into the future of the middle-market M&A environment.”

The 105 respondents are also positive about the state of the economy, with 36% seeing it as stronger than expected this year, and another 61% believing that economic performance will meet their high expectations. Also noteworthy is that 75% expect that returns on private-equity investments will outperform returns on hedge-fund investments and venture-capital investments in the second half of the year.

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The Ohio State University’s National Center for the Middle Market defines the US middle market as those businesses with revenues in the range of $10 million to $1 billion, which includes about 200,000 firms. They account for one-third of total private employment in the country, with 44.5 million jobs, and contribute more than $10 trillion in combined revenues annually to the economy.

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Gov. Rauner Issues Amendatory Veto to Illinois’ Senate Bill 1

Urges General Assembly to make “historic changes” to state education funding.

Continuing to push for his vision of pension reform, Gov. Bruce Rauner issued an amendatory veto against Illinois school funding bill Senate Bill 1 on Tuesday, sending it back to the Illinois General Assembly, where if lawmakers uphold his changes, the state’s education funding will achieve a “historic” reform, Rauner said.

In mid-July, the Chicago Public Schools (CPS) issued a statement, claiming Rauner couldn’t legally veto SB 1, citing that his amendatory veto “exceeds the power of the Governor under the State Constitution.”

Compared to the current bill, Rauner’s version would cause CPS to lose $203 million, according to calculations from his office.

“As written, Senate Bill 1 places the burden of the Chicago Public Schools’ broken teacher pension system on our rural and suburban school districts through three major provisions: pick-up of CPS’ normal pension costs, retention of the so-called Chicago block grant, and a deduction for the CPS unfunded pension liability,” Rauner said in his veto letter. “Taken together, these three provisions put Chicago in line for millions more in funding that are diverted from other, needier districts, thus going against the Commission recommendation that any additional money be distributed first to districts farthest from adequacy. This is not about taking resources away from Chicago. This is about making historic changes to help poor children in Chicago and throughout the state of Illinois.”

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In his amendatory veto, the Governor asks the General Assembly to make the following changes to the bill:

  • Maintain a per-district hold harmless until the 2020-2021 school year, and then move to a per-pupil hold harmless based on a three-year rolling average of enrollment.
  • Remove the minimum funding requirement. While the governor is committed to ensuring that the legislature satisfies its duty to fund schools, the proposed trigger of 1% of the overall adequacy target plus $93 million artificially inflates the minimum funding number and jeopardizes Tier II funding.
  • Remove the Chicago block grant from the funding formula.
  • Remove both CPS pension considerations from the formula: the normal cost pick-up and the unfunded liability deduction.
  • Reintegrate the normal cost pick-up for CPS into the Pension Code, and treat Chicago like all other districts with regards to the state’s relationship with its teachers’ pensions.
  • Eliminate the PTELL and TIF equalized assessed value subsidies that allow districts to continue underreporting property wealth.
  • Remove the escalators throughout the bill that automatically increase costs.
  • Retain the floor for the regionalization factor, for the purposes of equity, and adds a cap, for the purposes of adequacy.

The amendatory veto also removes the accounting for future pension cost shifts to districts in the Adequacy Target, preventing districts from taking full responsibility for the normal costs of their teachers’ pensions.

“These changes included in my amendatory veto reflect years of hard work by our education reform commission and our ability to overcome our political differences for the good of our young people’s futures,” Rauner said. “I urge the General Assembly to act quickly to accept these changes and let our students start school on time.”

Initially passed by both the Illinois Senate and House of Representatives in May, SB 1 seeks to increase state funding in order to properly fund each of the state’s 850-plus school districts.

This would be done by increasing the state funding over time after taking into account each district’s local funding capacity and the amount of state funding it already receives as a baseline. Funding goals are then set based on the “essential elements” of each district, as well as their respective costs of implementation based on demographics and regionally variated staff salaries.  

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