Study: Asia Becoming a Home for Asset Owners

According to the study by Cerulli Associates, Asia will most likely emerge as the largest asset management region in the world outside the US.

(March 1, 2010) – A new report from Cerulli Associates shows that global asset managers should not disregard Asia’s $747 billion pension sector.

The study predicts that investable Asia ex-Japan pension assets will grow 55% by 2013 to about $1.15 trillion.

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“This is because much of Asia will age dramatically in the next few decades, creating substantial demographic pressure,” the Cerulli report said. In 2003, 6.3% of Asia’s population was over the age of 65, but in 2050, that percentage is expected to jump to 20%.

Consequently, the report said, governments will have to boost retirement savings and pension fund performance, indicating a growing role for professional fund management and overseas exposure.

Asia’s economy emerged from the financial crisis as a global leader. Between 2009 and 2013, the pool of addressable assets in Asia ex-Japan is forecast to increase by nearly 75% to $370.3 billion, according to the report. China will have the largest pool of addressable assets by 2013 with $130 billion, followed by Hong Kong, South Korea and Taiwan.

Despite the opportunities that abound in the region, profitability in Asia ex-Japan’s pension sector is often poor, especially compared with the region’s retail sector, which is about $300 billion to $400 billion larger, the Financial Times reported.

“But managers must invest time and money now, and shoulder low profitability, if they want to make the most of the Asia ex-Japan pension opportunity as it matures over the long term,” Cerulli said. The report added that since the region’s retirement marketplace is still in its early stages, global asset managers should consider Asia’s pension sector just one element of a wider institutional book.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Application Administrator at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

CalPERS May Cut Its Projected Rate-of-Return

The giant pension fund’s potential decision to slash its rate of return could force California governments to struggle paying millions more each year to provide employees with pensions.

(March 1, 2010) – The California Public Employees’ Retirement Fund (CalPERS), America’s largest pension fund, will make a recommendation to its board on whether to lower its actuarial rate of return in December.

 

Since 2003, CalPERS has assumed its fund, the value of its stocks, bonds and other holdings, would earn an average annual rate of 7.75%. But, following heavy losses during the financial crisis, the $200 billion fund is assessing whether to lower its long-standing rate. Lower investment return expectations would also decrease the likelihood that the fund would invest in more risky nontraditional investments, such as real-estate and private-equity, which contributed to the fund’s losses.

 

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While specific alternative targets have not yet been decided on by CalPERS officials, the Wall Street Journal reported, the board has been urged to reduce its rate of return expectations to as low as 6%.

 

According to Reuters, Blackrock’s chief executive Laurence Fink told the board of  CalPERS in July 2009 that the assumed rate of return on its investment was unrealistic. Fink said the fund should expect smaller gains, telling CalPERS board members that it would be lucky to get 5% or 6% return on its portfolio.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“Given the market conditions over the last year we feel it’s prudent to review our assumptions,” fund spokesman Brad Pacheco said to Reuters.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CalPERS was down 23% totaling $58 billion in its fiscal year ended June 30. The decline represented the worst performance in CalPERS’ 78-year history. The fund was up 12% for the year ended December 31.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

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