Study Finds Canada the Innocent Bystander Amid Turbulent Markets

A report analyzing the market's reactions to investments by sovereign wealth funds, with approximately $3 trillion in assets in 2008 and a projected $15 trillion by 2015, finds that wealth fund injections in the US have unintended consequences.

(July 8, 2010) — While sovereign wealth fund investments in US financial institutions during the economic crisis may have helped settle American markets, they hurt Canada’s, a new study shows.

“Canada was a good case study because it emerged from the financial crisis relatively unscathed,” Michael S. Pagano, a Villanova Business School professor and co-author of the study, told ai5000. “We found it was beneficial to the US to have money flow into the country, but there was an extraction of capital from other countries.”

According to an academic study co-authored by Pagano and Vincent Gasparro, a Toronto private equity executive who is also one of Pagano’s former students, news of a SWF capital investment resulted in US short-term interest rates dropping up to 61 basis points while corporate rates in Canada jumped between 15 and 29 basis points.

The authors found that news related to the financial crisis and SWF investments in US and European firms not only affected returns on US money market instruments and firms’ common stock but also created negative “spillover” effects on Canadian money markets and Canadian firms’ equity returns, the report stated.

Want the latest institutional investment industry
news and insights? Sign up for CIO newsletters.

Pagano told ai5000 that there are a handful of lessons to learn from this study. First, investors need to think about where SWFs are putting their money, because it could signal to the outside world where global capital is being reallocated. Gasparro told the Globe and Mail that Canada needs to do more to lure investment. “Is Canada waving its flag enough to get the attention of people? Because there’s a finite amount of capital, it’s going to go to not only where the best investment is, but also where the best-known investment is,” he said. “We need to make ourselves more visible.”

Pagano and Gasparro are considering a follow-up study to measure the long-term effects of SWF injections.

The study, titled “Sovereign Wealth Funds: An Early Look at their Impact on Debt and Equity Markets during the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis,” used data from 2006 and 2009 in its analysis and was published in the May/June issue of the Financial Analysts Journal.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

Canada's Pension Plan to Buy Laricina Stake for $237 Million

CPPIB has extended into Canada's oil and gas sector by agreeing to make its first direct investment in oilsands though a deal with Laricina.

(July 7, 2010) — Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) is acquiring a 17.1% stake in Calgary oil sands company Laricina Energy for $237 million.

The purchase represents the fund’s first venture into northern Alberta’s oilsands industry, giving CPPIB, one of Canada’s largest institutional investors that invests surplus cash from the national Canada Pension Plan, the right to nominate a board director at the company. The purchase follows CPPIB’s decision not to support shareholder resolutions seeking environmental reports on the controversial tar sands projects at BP and Shell earlier this year.

“We are pleased with the endorsement and look forward to the partnership. This will fully fund our next project, the 5,000-barrel-per-day Germain demonstration project,” said Laricina chief executive Glen Schmidt. “The investment is a very important endorsement for Laricina and we are excited CPPIB has shown confidence in Laricina’s management team and development strategy. This is a strong testament to Laricina’s growth potential and continued progress towards building a leading in situ oil sands company,” he said.

Under the deal, privately held Laricina, which is looking to establish its first commercial oilsands production later this year, issued about 8.3 million common shares to the investment board at $30 apiece. Laricina is also selling nearly 1.7 million common shares for $48.3 million to a syndicate co-led by Peters & Company and RBC Capital Markets.

For more stories like this, sign up for the CIO Alert newsletter.

CPPIB, a member of the U.N. Principles for Responsible Investment, adopted its policy on responsible investing in 2005, considering ESG factors from a risk/return point of view.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Application Administrator at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

«