Volatile Markets Provide Opportunity for Defensive Investing, Russell Says

Russell Investments has achieved outperformance in its defensive strategy reflected by Russell 3000 -- a benchmark measuring most of the US market.

(August 17, 2011) — Russell Investments has found that the current performance of its Stability Indexes illustrate the historical benefit of investing defensively in increasingly challenging economic and market environments.

According to the firm, the Russell 3000 has seen more than a 7% advantage going toward its more defensive names as opposed to more cyclical or “dynamic” stocks.

“The introduction of these new indexes connects to a broader trend among institutional investors looking at a variety of new alternative index & investing approaches – not just seeking investment return, but in looking for outcome-oriented strategies to manage toward specific liabilities,” Abigail Huffman, director of research at Russell Investments, told aiCIO. “This is clearly a much more complicated and volatile investment world versus just three years ago – investors need to have continual evolution of tools to better help manage risk and reduce uncertainty.”

Huffman added: “In the current yo-yo market, where emotion drives investing amid unprecedented volatility, a more disciplined approach may be beneficial,” said Huffman. “While certainly no guarantee of what may happen in the future, our research shows that a defensive investment approach as reflected by the Russell 3000 Defensive Index has delivered higher returns and lower volatility over the past 20 years* and has shown less of an impact than the broad market as reflected by the Russell 3000 Index during falling markets. And, in fact, the defensive approach has performed particularly well in these recent volatile weeks.”

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While the Russell 3000 Dynamic Index had slipped 0.89% so far this year through, its Russell 3000 Dynamic Index was down 8.2% in that same period, according to data from the firm.

During the month of August, the Russell 3000 Defensive Index outperformed the Russell 3000 broad market Index with a -5.69% return relative to a -8.13% return for the broad market index — a discrepancy fueled by the highly volatile energy, financial services and consumer discretionary sectors, according to a statement released by the firm.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

Fund Manager Survey: Global Economy May Wane but Recession Will Be Avoided

According to a BofA Merrill Lynch Survey of Fund Managers, cash holdings are close to credit crisis highs in the wake of an equities sell-off.

(August 17, 2011) — Manager optimism about the global economy has declined significantly in August, a survey by Bank of America Merrill Lynch has revealed.

The firm’s latest monthly study — conducted August 5-11 in a survey of 244 fund managers overseeing $718 billion — revealed that a net 13% of managers believe the global economy will experience weaker growth compared with a net 19% in July who were confident the economy would improve.

“Flows out of equities into cash have reached capitulation levels, especially in the US but it’s significant that a revival in optimism towards China has survived the global correction,” said Michael Hartnett, chief Global Equity strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, in a statement. “Investors are waiting for convincing, coordinated action from governments before recommitting their cash to equities,” added the firm’s Gary Baker.

Meanwhile, a net 42% of managers said a global recession is still unlikely in the next 12 months.

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Regarding US sentiment, asset allocators have reduced their positions in the US more aggressively than in any other region and at the sharpest rate the survey has ever recorded. According to the study, asset allocators have moved slightly underweight US equities.

The eurozone, however, seems to have avoided the global equities sell-off, the report found. “The panel remains underweight eurozone equities, but the net percentage underweight the region has fallen to 15% in August, from 21% in July. Within Europe, however, the story has darkened. A net 71% of the regional panel expects the European economy to weaken, up starkly from a net 22% in July; although, a strong majority rejects the idea that Europe will go into recession.”

The study also revealed more positive views toward China. A net 11% of managers in Asia believe China’s economy will weaken, down from a net 24% in July.



To contact the <em>aiCIO</em> editor of this story: Paula Vasan at <a href='mailto:pvasan@assetinternational.com'>pvasan@assetinternational.com</a>; 646-308-2742

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